The Washington Commanders host the Seattle Seahawks in their home opener – here is your Commanders vs Seahawks Week 3 Odds preview.
Current Odds
As of September 26, 2026, the Seattle Seahawks are 7 to 7.5-point road favorites.
The under/over total sits near 40.5 points.
Seahawks moneyline sits around -350 to -395.
Commanders moneyline sits around +280 to +310.
Lines can still move before kickoff.
Seahawks -7.5
Over/Under 40.5
Records Against the Spread and Straight Up
The Commanders sit at 0-2 straight up this season.
They covered the spread against the Eagles but not at Dallas, so they’re 1-1 ATS.
The Seahawks stand at 2-0.
Seattle has covered in both games so far.
Last Week
Washington struggled in Dallas. Jayden Daniels left with a dislocated left elbow. Marcus Mariota finished the game. The defense allowed the Cowboys to score on nearly every drive.
Meanwhile, Seattle handled business and improved to 2-0. Sam Darnold is expected back under center this week.
Relevant Past Trends
Seattle have won two of the last 3 outings, but the Commanders covered two of those three.
They met in 2025 and Seattle dominated 38-14.
Over/Under Analysis
The total sits at a low 40.5.
Both teams have dealt with quarterback uncertainty, which probably led to the low number.
Washington’s defense has allowed points early and often though.
Last week’s Commanders’ over/under was 50 and it still got smashed (57). When they met last year, they put up 52 points between the two of them (38-14).
Fantasy Section
Commanders projected values
| Player | Pos | Projected Points | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Mariota | QB | 14.5 – 16.5 | Full-time starter role |
| Terry McLaurin | WR | 11.0 – 13.5 (PPR) | Top target in the offense |
| Stefon Diggs | WR | 10.0 – 12.5 (PPR) | Reliable volume expected |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | 9.0 – 11.5 | Lead back opportunity |
| Rachaad White | RB | 7.5 – 9.5 (PPR) | Change-of-pace role |
Seahawks projected values
| Player | Pos | Projected Points | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold | QB | 16.5 – 18.5 | Returns as the starter |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | 13.5 – 16.0 (PPR) | Clear WR1 targets |
| Jadarian Price | RB | 12.0 – 14.5 (PPR) | Primary rushing workload |
| Cooper Kupp | WR | 10.5 – 13.0 (PPR) | Veteran target share |
| AJ Barner / TE | TE | 7.5 – 9.5 (PPR) | Red-zone opportunity |
Final Friday Injury Reports
Commanders
| Player | Pos | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | QB | Elbow | OUT |
| Sam Cosmi | G | Concussion | OUT |
| Frankie Luvu | LB | Groin | OUT |
| Chig Okonkwo | TE | Hamstring | OUT |
| Nick Cross | S | Illness | OUT |
Seahawks
| Player | Pos | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Okada | S | Hamstring | OUT |
| Julian Love | S | Calf | OUT |
| Sam Darnold | QB | Glute | Expected to play |
Weather Expected
Light rain is expected at Northwest Stadium tomorrow at 1:00 PM.
The detailed forecast metrics for kickoff include:
- Temperature: Around 17°C (approx. 63°F)
- Precipitation Chance: 45% chance of rain
- Wind: Northwest at 13 mph, with potential local gusts up to 28 mph throughout the afternoon
- Humidity: High at 81%–82%
Summary
The Commanders vs Seahawks Week 3 Odds set up a tough home test for Washington. Seattle arrives as the clear favorite. However, if you can get a spread of 7.5 points and get that extra half-point – Washington has a good chance of covering the spread. Like last week, expect the over/under to go over by a good chunk.
Kickoff is Sunday at 1:00 p.m. ET on FOX.
Betting Glossary
Spread / ATS: The number of points the favorite must win by.
Moneyline: A bet on which team wins the game outright.
Over/Under: A bet on whether total points go over or under the set number.
SU: Straight up (win-loss record without the spread).
ATS: Against the spread.