grampi wrote:Deadskins wrote:grampi wrote:Deadskins wrote:grampi wrote:Deadskins wrote:grampi wrote:Deadskins wrote:No, your proportions are not correct.
So you're saying the NFL couldn't make more money if the Ticket were made available from all the service providers, and Ticket subscription rates couldn't be lowered?
No. subscription rates would definitely go down if there was more competition, but the NFL would not be getting more revenue. That's where your argument falls apart.
I don't see how. Please explain.
If there were ten licenses, then the selling price would not rise to 1/10 of what it is for a single, exclusive license.
That's where I think you're wrong. If there were ten providers, there would be 10 times as many people that would have access to the Ticket, therefore I believe the total revenues the NFL would see would be much higher than what they get for selling exclusive rights.
For the last time, the number of subscribers has nothing to do with the NFL's revenue, because that is determined after the rights have already been sold.
The number of subscribers has EVERYTHING to do with it. It determines how much a provider would be willing to pay the NFL for a slice of the rights. I can't imagine ANY service provider who wouldn't expect very high numbers of their customers who would want the Ticket (considering the subscription price would be much lower then, of course).
You're putting the cart before the horse. When they buy the rights, they have zero subscribers. They don't have subscribers until after they have already bought the rights. So they can't know how much they could pay yet.
One more point: In most areas, cable companies have a local monopoly. So, other than satellite, there would be no competition, and therefore they could set the price anywhere they want. You're not going to get the cost reduction you were hoping for.