markshark84 wrote:RayNAustin wrote:Redskin in Canada wrote:Optimist in me?
8 - 8
Pessimist in me?
7 - 9
No playoffs ... YET
Next year? Different story. Winning record and Playoffs.

The Redskins should have won 8 games last year. We absolutely lost 3 games we should have won ... and that ill conceived move to Beck that led to what was it ... a 4 game losing streak? It was a bad move, and Beck was atrocious. Anytime a guy comes in and then forces a move back to the benched player, that's a problem.
Ray --- should have could have. Bottom line -- you are what your record says you are. No excuses.
We could have won 3 games that we didn't last year, but we also won 4 games against theoreticaly better teams last year. We can't pick and choose games and justify why certain loses (of the 11!) were somehow a fluke. Good teams win the games they should; bad teams don't. We were the later.
In actuality, we were tied for the 5th worst record in the NFL at 5-11 last year (with the 9th easiest SOS in the NFL that year). We were the 7th worst scoring offense in the NFL last year. We had the 7th worst scoring differential in the NFL last year.
While I do believe teams can turn things around from 5-11 to 10-6; I don't see that happening here. While we have an easier schedule than others in the NFC East, it is still much worse than last years (last year we were matched up with the NFC West and AFC East -- only 2 of those teams had winning records). This year we have the NFC South and AFC North -- both top divisions each with 3 very good football teams. On top of it we have a rookie QB and a makeshift OL.
The pessimist/doom & gloom in me sees this team going 4-12 with wins over CLE, MINN, STL, and one division opponent at home. The optimist sees us going 7-9. In the prior 2 seasons I predicted us going 6-10 and the year prior at 7-9. These were pessimistic opinions and I was still 1 game above the actual record, so hopefully this is the year I am way off --- and I will be really happy if it is.
I was offering no excuses, just a more legitimate assessment of talent, and I firmly believe that the team did not live up to the level of talent it had last year.
I know the easy answer is that we shouldn't have beaten the Giants, so that offsets a couple of losses that should have been wins ... but that's just not at all accurate. We kicked the Giants tails, BOTH games ... by 14 points in the first meeting, and 13 points the second game. And they were ultimately the Super Bowl champs. These were not "fluke" wins. They were two solid, kick tail wins.
Now, I'll refresh your memory to a crucial turning point. We opened the year at 3-1 (the 1 loss to Dallas at Dallas by 2 points in a game we dominated). So game 5 against the Eagles saw Rex Grossman have perhaps the worst game of his career with 4 interceptions, which we lost making the team 3-2. The QB switch was made to Beck, and we proceeded to lose 3 straight games with an offense that went backwards, and then two more loses with Grossman returning as the starter, one of those games being the 3 point loss to the cowboys in a game we also should have won. That 5 game losing streak sunk the season and left us at 3-7 on the year. It was a huge mistake in retrospect making that game 6 QB switch with a winning record (they did the same thing the previous year benching McNabb for Grossman when the team had a winning record). With the issues at QB and generally, offensive issues ... the Redskins were not going to be a contender last year, because you cannot play musical chairs at the most critical position, with one totally inconsistent player being benched for another player that shouldn't even have been on the team. Beck's talent was totally miscalculated by the Daddy and Boy wonder.
In spite of that, when one looks at how we battled the Patriots down to the wire in game 13, losing the ball inside the 10 in the waning moments, missing an opportunity to tie the game, I see a team that was simply a couple of pieces away from being serious contenders.
Forget those 11 losses ... you can always say we should have won this game or that game ... I'm basing my assessment of the team on their performance against the two teams that were in last year's super bowl, and we whipped the Giants twice badly .. and gave the Patriots everything they could handle. This tells me that the talent of the team was far superior to the 5-11 record, with some dubious coaching decisions playing a huge roll in the overall results.
I compare that to the 49er's who were pathetic in 2010, and a power house in 2011. Teams don't make those leaps in one off season unless they had severely underperformed in the previous year. The big change the 49er's had was a new coaching staff and new system ... same basic personnel and same QB in 2011.
That's why I say that the Redskins are absolutely capable, talent wise, of winning 10 games this year, because we've had a huge talent upgrade at those critical spots that hurt us last year, at QB and WR.
Also, it takes 2-3 years to make the switch from a 4-3 to a 3-4, and I expect that the defense will not only play better this year, but will be helped by a more stable and capable offense, as long as Mike and Kyle don't grossly mismanage the offense and personnel again this year.
I see the team easily able to start the year at 4-2 or better, while RG3 uses those first 6 games to iron out the rookie kinks, coming into his own as the team tackles the toughest stretch of the schedule. So, a 4-2 start and a 6 and 4 end is not overly optimistic ... it should be the expectation. Optimistically, we could start 5-1 and finish 7-3, for an overall 12-4 record.
This team is not the Cleveland Browns or the Miami Dolphins, as so many seem to believe. The performance against the Patriots and Giants last year tells me that there is reason to be optimistic that the huge upgrade at QB could achieve that same type of turnaround the 2010-2011 49er's experienced.
You heard it here first!
