Deadskins wrote:RayNAustin wrote:In the Detroit game, there were many questionable decisions. When McNabb was pulled, it was 31-25 .... we had already tried two 2 point conversions and failed ... and I thought it was a mistake each time. Had we Kicked extra points on both, Detroit would never have gone for their two pointer on what ended up being the go ahead TD and successful 2 point conversion, and the score would have been 27-27 (not 28-25) with over 3 minutes left. With a tie ball game, the Redskins would never have gone for it on 4th down and 10 from their own 28, virtually handing the Lions 3 points ... which was also a mistake in my opinion, and set up by previous poor decisions to go for 2 twice. Even then, down by 3 with 2:22 left ... you punt, force a 3 and out, and try and drive for the tie ... you don't give them 3 ... it was 4th and 10 ... not 4th and 2.
I totally agree with your points about not going for 2 so early and going for it on 4th down from our own 28 with what amounts to 3 TOs left, but your math is faulty. We missed out on two points on the unsuccessful PATs, but the Lions broke even, missing one two point attempt and then making the next. The score would not have been tied 27-27 had both teams simply kicked; they would have been ahead 28-27.
You don't need a calculator for this ... it's not your math that is faulty, it's your assumption that the Lions would have gone for 2 rather than kick 1 to tie the score ... at the 4:40 mark, we had a 25-20 lead, having missed on two 2 point conversions. 25 + 2 = 27, which would have made the score, 27-20. After the INT (when we shouldn't have been throwing anyway), the Lions scored a TD ... which would have made the score 27-26 (not 25-26). I suggest that the Lions would never have gone for a 2 point conversion in that situation (27-26) ... they would have taken the higher percentage 1 point kick to tie the score at 27. They went for 2 points in that situation BECAUSE that TD gave them a lead 26-25 ... so whether they make it or not, they still had the lead. Those missed two points changed the entire situation at that stage. Do you think the Lions would have risked going for 2, down by 1 ? I DON'T THINK SO. They would have kicked the 1 pointer to tie, unless of course, Shanahan was their coach. Unfortunately, in this game, he was making our decisions, and not theirs.
Then, with the ball back, do you think the Redskins would have gone for it on 4th down, deep in their own territory with the game tied 27-27 ? Conventional wisdom says Hell No, they would have punted. But instead of it being 27-27, we were down by 3, 28-25 ... with 2:20 left to go ... so the Redskins went for it on 4th and 10. This pretty much handed the Lions another 3 points, making it 31-25, with less than 2 minutes left, and the Redskins forced to score a TD.
As I said, it was one coaching error that led to the next coaching error that led to the next. Had the game been managed properly, the Redskins would have had the ball with 1:45 seconds ... with the score tied at 27-27 instead of 31-25.
Then, there REALLY would have been no reasonable justification for yanking McNabb with the score tied. All they would have needed to do is get in FG range and kick 3 for the win at the end.
The other scenario ... having a 27-20 lead with 4:40 to go ... you DON'T put the ball in the air and risk the worst possible outcome ... the turnover in your own territory ... you run, run run, and eat the clock ... punt if you have to, and make them score 7 in their final drive just to tie.
And as I've already said, this isn't just hypothetical what ifs ... these are a series of unconventional football decisions that led directly to the Lions winning.
For those that are not keen on reading between the lines ... several poor coaching decisions by Shanahan in the 4th Q led directly to this loss. He chose to blame McNabb with 2 minutes left, lied about it afterward, and still refuses to take responsibility. That also makes him a schmuck.
That he still refuses to admit that pulling McNabb was a mistake, I won't be holding my breath, or even consider the possibility that he will honestly analyze the other poor decisions that he made which contributed to the loss. And that makes it all the more likely that he'll make similar decisions again.