Fair enough. You are implying contradictory things though.
Earlier you mentioned."We've seen how the kids play in college" in reference to your blackjack analogy. My point was that...seeing the kids play in college is no substitute for WAITING to see them play in the NFL.
The analogy is not contradictory. I know that a CB that runs a 5.0 40 and played marginally in college is not a good player to draft. I also know that getting 2 3's is not the best hand in the world to get. I could still get 21 and that CB could still become a Pro Bowler (albeit probably at ST or Safety who knows?) but you still have some inkling of insight into the type of player/hand you're going to get.
The reverse is true. You could be dealt 2 tens but if the dealer gets 21 then you lost. Still doesn't mean that 20 isn't a good hand.
At this point that is basically impossible being that it is only 3 days after the draft. This business of mocking the draft...and then grading the draft...is Hogwash...no pun intended.
As a fan of this very team, you should understand that. That is why it sickens me to hear this rhetoric every single year. Some people cried and moaned that we should have gotten Kellen Winslow. etc..etc...
Actually I wanted Taylor and not Winslow. I was happy.
The point is that you cannot make bold assertions that the draft went wrong, or the moves were bad, stupid and will reflect negatively on the season just yet.
The players were the same on Friday before the draft as they are today. The only difference is they have a jersey to hold up. I would just say err on the side of patience when you are judging a 3 day old draft.
I understand you point and the logic behind it. I just feel that I'm right about the lack of wisdom we used to trade as many picks as we did for Campbell.
You should refer to the thread I created about Gibb's draft. You make the assumption that picking in the First Round is essential to building a champion.
Joe Gibbs has proven that untrue already. Between 1982 and 1990 we only had 1 first round pick...Darrell Green. From 1984 to 90 we had none. They were traded away for players or picks. I seem to recall 2 Superbowl titles somewhere in there.
You also missed my response to that thread too ... Gibbs also had a GM who had a knack for getting late round and undrafted gems. We don't have such a person and haven't for a VERY long time.
BTW- under the old rules (pre-freeagency) we also used to stash developmental players on IR (Stan Humphries ring a bell?). Remember Jerry Glanville was pissed about it and went off on Gibbs right before we played his Falcons.
We've traded a 1st rounder one year, and had 2 this year, and already people are calling for Gibbs' head.
I don't want his head. I think he's a great coach and a decent talent evaluator. What he needs as a competent GM and good scouts who can find late round talent. We haven't seemed to have that in longer than I can remember.
I just say if you have a question or confusion about Gibb's philosophy...do your research for some guidance on the man's method. Whether you like it or not, it actually works.
It HAS worked in the past and that is why he will always be my coach. My concern (and I'm extremely hopeful that he will succeed) is that it won't now. Hopefully for our team's sake you are correct and I'm wrong. And I will never be more happy being wrong than at that moment and will gladly admit I was.