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BREAKOUT: Leonard Hankerson Behind the Numbers
Posted: Thu May 16, 2013 11:38 am
by The Hogster
The numbers say that Hankerson is primed for a breakout season, if you can even call it that. Last year he was 2nd behind Morgan in total snaps as a wide receiver with 589, which was 125 more snaps than Moss.
According to Pro Football Focus, Hankerson ranked
15th in the NFL with 45% of his targets going for 1st Downs or Touchdowns. He also ranked 13th in the NFL in PFF's Wide Receiver Rating (119.0). The knock on Hankerson has been that he drops the ball far too often to be a consistent receiver. However, PFF attributed only 3 drops against Hankerson last year which is better than Garcon (5), Moss (6), and Morgan (7).
This article breaks down why Leonard Hankerson could be on the cusp of a breakout if he simply gets more opportunity and improves his weaknesses. Now would be a great time.
2012 Stats:
38 Receptions, 543 Yards, 3 Touchdowns.
2 Rushes, 5 Yards.
Overview
When the Redskins drafted Leonard Hankerson with their 3rd Round selection in the 2011 Draft, the fanbase embraced the pick. And why not? He did break Michael Irivin's single season touchdown record at 'The U.' Hankerson was supposed to be what we had hoped Malcolm Kelly and his "snake-bitten" self would become. A big receiver that somehow ran a 4.43 40-yard dash at the combine (same time as Aldrick Robinson); our very own Brandon Marshall (who Shanahan had drafted in Denver with a 4th Round selection).
Fast-forward two years later and many of us are still waiting for Hankerson to take that leap. After a first-year off-season that was limited due to the NFL lockout and a season that was cut short by a torn labrum and subluxation of his hip, Hankerson entered the 2012 season as the 4th wide receiver on the depth chart. Making the most of the Pierre Garcon injury, Hankerson played in every game last season, starting in 5 out of the 16. He finished the season with just 90 yards less than Garcon and 30 yards less than Santana Moss. He bested "starting" receiver Josh Morgan in yards and touchdowns, even though Morgan had more targets (69) than Hankerson (55).
Quietly, Hankerson became an integral part of Washington's offense in 2012. He finished 2nd behind Morgan in total snaps as a wide receiver with 589, which was 125 more snaps than Moss. According to Pro Football Focus, Hankerson ranked 15th in the NFL with 45% of his targets going for 1st Downs or Touchdowns. He also ranked 13th in the NFL in PFF's Wide Receiver Rating (119.0). The knock on Hankerson has been that he drops the ball far too often to be a consistent receiver. However, PFF attributed only 3 drops against Hankerson last year which is better than Garcon (5), Moss (6), and Morgan (7).
With all that said, Hankerson still has a lot of room for improvement and will need to show the coaching staff that he's ready to take on an expanded role entering his 3rd year.
Improvements for 2013:
YAC, YAC, YAC: Yards After Catch has been a point of emphasis for Mike Shanahan. It is why he was so enamored with Pierre Garcon and Josh Morgan last off-season. It is why he spent a 3rd Round pick on Jordan Reed this off-season. With Hankerson's size and (concealed) speed, he has to be able to take the ball up-field more consistently. He ranked 4th in YAC among Redskins wide receivers in 2012. It starts with catching the ball cleanly and then maintaining balance after the catch. Far too often did we see him either bobble the ball initially, stumble into a tackle, or fall into a catch. If he gets back to these basics the yards will come in bunches.
Run Blocking: Hankerson provides no versatility when it comes to special teams. So, he will have to step up in run blocking to get an edge. Hankerson had a higher percentage of snaps go for rushing plays than Garcon, Morgan, and Moss. However, he ranked worst in PFF's run blocking ratings among them all. He just didn't display the tenacity of Garcon and Moss, and was no where close to Morgan's, almost elite, ability to block. Aggressiveness is the key. Maybe a small scuffle with a rookie in camp could go a long way for him.
Be confident down the middle: Hankerson needs to make the middle of the field his home. The read-option helps in opening up holes in the middle. However, two of Hankerson's three drops last year came in the middle of the field and I can remember at least one other instance where Hankerson did a drag across the middle and failed to locate the ball as it went past him. Becoming comfortable with quick hitting slants and drags to the middle will be key for his development.
Bottom Line:
Hankerson is a relative lock to make the team because of his upside. Hankerson will enter OTA's and training camp with the goal of winning the starting 'Z' receiver spot that Josh Morgan currently occupies. Last year the Redskins brought in similarly built Dezmon Briscoe and this year some are hoping Lance Lewis is more than a camp body. The fact remains that snaps and targets should be harder to come by this year with Fred Davis, Jordan Reed, and a 3rd down RB added to the offensive arsenal. It's a make or break off-season for Hankerson's Redskins career. Let's hope he rises to the occasion.
http://www.hogshaven.com/2013/5/16/4318 ... -hankerson
Posted: Thu May 16, 2013 12:19 pm
by langleyparkjoe
He definitely improved from when I said cut him, I'll give him that.
Hopefully he'll keep getting better and work on those drops which I'm sure he's already been working on.
Re: BREAKOUT: Leonard Hankerson Behind the Numbers
Posted: Thu May 16, 2013 12:33 pm
by Redskin in Canada
Fast-forward two years later and many of us are still waiting for Hankerson to take that leap.
I like an optimistic and hopeful assessment and prediction but ...
I will say it again: This is his make or break year. If he does not improve across the board, next year's rookies will put a lot of pressure on his roster spot.
This year we had other more pressing needs in the secondary and for good RBs to support Alfred Morris. Team is looking at the WR position next together with an eye on RT on the OL.
I wouldnot be surprised if more WR competition is brought in for OTAs and Training Camp.
Like most, I am hoping for the best for Hank.
Re: BREAKOUT: Leonard Hankerson Behind the Numbers
Posted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:01 pm
by 1niksder
Redskin in Canada wrote:Fast-forward two years later and many of us are still waiting for Hankerson to take that leap.
I like an optimistic and hopeful assessment and prediction but ...
I will say it again: This is his make or break year. If he does not improve across the board, next year's rookies will put a lot of pressure on his roster spot.
This year we had other more pressing needs in the secondary and for good RBs to support Alfred Morris. Team is looking at the WR position next together with an eye on RT on the OL.
I wouldnot be surprised if more WR competition is brought in for OTAs and Training Camp.
Like most, I am hoping for the best for Hank.
They raved about Lance Lewis (whom went undrafted out of East Carolina in 2012, joined the Redskins for training camp, but suffered an injury and reached an injury settlement) last off-season, and was suppose to push Briscoe and Hankerson for a roster spot... he took part in this year's rookie camp and was signed this week.
Posted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:35 pm
by SkinsJock
I'd agree with the thinking about Hankerson's upside but I think he has to show a lot in OTAs and training camp to make the roster
I am all for this guy becoming a force for this squad - I'm wondering if he's going to take advantage of his talents and where he is right now
Re: BREAKOUT: Leonard Hankerson Behind the Numbers
Posted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:36 pm
by HTTRRG3ALMO
The Hogster wrote:The numbers say that Hankerson is primed for a breakout season, if you can even call it that. Last year he was 2nd behind Morgan in total snaps as a wide receiver with 589, which was 125 more snaps than Moss.
According to Pro Football Focus, Hankerson ranked
15th in the NFL with 45% of his targets going for 1st Downs or Touchdowns. He also ranked 13th in the NFL in PFF's Wide Receiver Rating (119.0). The knock on Hankerson has been that he drops the ball far too often to be a consistent receiver. However, PFF attributed only 3 drops against Hankerson last year which is better than Garcon (5), Moss (6), and Morgan (7).
This article breaks down why Leonard Hankerson could be on the cusp of a breakout if he simply gets more opportunity and improves his weaknesses. Now would be a great time.
2012 Stats:
38 Receptions, 543 Yards, 3 Touchdowns.
2 Rushes, 5 Yards.
Overview
When the Redskins drafted Leonard Hankerson with their 3rd Round selection in the 2011 Draft, the fanbase embraced the pick. And why not? He did break Michael Irivin's single season touchdown record at 'The U.' Hankerson was supposed to be what we had hoped Malcolm Kelly and his "snake-bitten" self would become. A big receiver that somehow ran a 4.43 40-yard dash at the combine (same time as Aldrick Robinson); our very own Brandon Marshall (who Shanahan had drafted in Denver with a 4th Round selection).
Fast-forward two years later and many of us are still waiting for Hankerson to take that leap. After a first-year off-season that was limited due to the NFL lockout and a season that was cut short by a torn labrum and subluxation of his hip, Hankerson entered the 2012 season as the 4th wide receiver on the depth chart. Making the most of the Pierre Garcon injury, Hankerson played in every game last season, starting in 5 out of the 16. He finished the season with just 90 yards less than Garcon and 30 yards less than Santana Moss. He bested "starting" receiver Josh Morgan in yards and touchdowns, even though Morgan had more targets (69) than Hankerson (55).
Quietly, Hankerson became an integral part of Washington's offense in 2012. He finished 2nd behind Morgan in total snaps as a wide receiver with 589, which was 125 more snaps than Moss. According to Pro Football Focus, Hankerson ranked 15th in the NFL with 45% of his targets going for 1st Downs or Touchdowns. He also ranked 13th in the NFL in PFF's Wide Receiver Rating (119.0). The knock on Hankerson has been that he drops the ball far too often to be a consistent receiver. However, PFF attributed only 3 drops against Hankerson last year which is better than Garcon (5), Moss (6), and Morgan (7).
With all that said, Hankerson still has a lot of room for improvement and will need to show the coaching staff that he's ready to take on an expanded role entering his 3rd year.
Improvements for 2013:
YAC, YAC, YAC: Yards After Catch has been a point of emphasis for Mike Shanahan. It is why he was so enamored with Pierre Garcon and Josh Morgan last off-season. It is why he spent a 3rd Round pick on Jordan Reed this off-season. With Hankerson's size and (concealed) speed, he has to be able to take the ball up-field more consistently. He ranked 4th in YAC among Redskins wide receivers in 2012. It starts with catching the ball cleanly and then maintaining balance after the catch. Far too often did we see him either bobble the ball initially, stumble into a tackle, or fall into a catch. If he gets back to these basics the yards will come in bunches.
Run Blocking: Hankerson provides no versatility when it comes to special teams. So, he will have to step up in run blocking to get an edge. Hankerson had a higher percentage of snaps go for rushing plays than Garcon, Morgan, and Moss. However, he ranked worst in PFF's run blocking ratings among them all. He just didn't display the tenacity of Garcon and Moss, and was no where close to Morgan's, almost elite, ability to block. Aggressiveness is the key. Maybe a small scuffle with a rookie in camp could go a long way for him.
Be confident down the middle: Hankerson needs to make the middle of the field his home. The read-option helps in opening up holes in the middle. However, two of Hankerson's three drops last year came in the middle of the field and I can remember at least one other instance where Hankerson did a drag across the middle and failed to locate the ball as it went past him. Becoming comfortable with quick hitting slants and drags to the middle will be key for his development.
Bottom Line:
Hankerson is a relative lock to make the team because of his upside. Hankerson will enter OTA's and training camp with the goal of winning the starting 'Z' receiver spot that Josh Morgan currently occupies. Last year the Redskins brought in similarly built Dezmon Briscoe and this year some are hoping Lance Lewis is more than a camp body. The fact remains that snaps and targets should be harder to come by this year with Fred Davis, Jordan Reed, and a 3rd down RB added to the offensive arsenal. It's a make or break off-season for Hankerson's Redskins career. Let's hope he rises to the occasion.
http://www.hogshaven.com/2013/5/16/4318 ... -hankerson
Wow I didn't realize he has done this well. I was always a bit frustrated with him & Morgan. Really hoping they all step up this year.
Posted: Thu May 16, 2013 5:45 pm
by Kilmer72
I'm not surprised by Hank's stats. I thought he was finally coming around. Morgan will be much healthier. Expect more from him this year.
Posted: Fri May 17, 2013 9:39 am
by The Hogster
I don't think Leonard's roster spot is in jeopardy at all. If anything, I expect his role to increase. At his current pace, if he takes over as the true compliment to Garcon, I could see him doubling his production with more opportunities.
Last season he had 38 Receptions, 543 Yards, 3 Touchdowns. I could see him grab 76 passes, for 1086 Yards and 6 scores. A breakout year doesn't mean he becomes Andre Johnson. It just means that he shows enough improvement to earn more of a role on the field and in the game plan. With those increased opportunities, I expect him to continue doing what he has shown he can when given the chance.
Posted: Fri May 17, 2013 2:42 pm
by riggofan
The Hogster wrote:I don't think Leonard's roster spot is in jeopardy at all. If anything, I expect his role to increase. At his current pace, if he takes over as the true compliment to Garcon, I could see him doubling his production with more opportunities.
Yeah I totally agree, Hogster. I don't really get the comment that Hankerson has to show a lot in OTAs and training camp if he even hopes to make the roster. That comment is much more true about Briscoe and several other WRs than about Hankerson.
He's been good and he's gotten better. I think could be a breakout guy this year.
Posted: Sat May 18, 2013 2:08 am
by 1niksder
The Hogster wrote:I don't think Leonard's roster spot is in jeopardy at all. If anything, I expect his role to increase. At his current pace, if he takes over as the true compliment to Garcon, I could see him doubling his production with more opportunities.
+1
Posted: Sun May 19, 2013 6:32 pm
by SkinsJock
SkinsJock wrote:I'd agree with the thinking about Hankerson's upside but I think he has to show a lot in OTAs and training camp to make the roster
I am all for this guy becoming a force for this squad - I'm wondering if he's going to take advantage of his talents and where he is right now
I understand that this sounds like I don't think Hankerson will do well ... that's not really correct
I do like what Hank has done - I just think that he has not been as 'effective' a WR as the coaches expect ...
he's done well, I just think he has not lived up to the expectations
AGAIN
I just have a feeling that he needs to take the next step and I think that has to happen early or his 'opportunities' may be limited
Hankerson could be a really big play WR for these guys and I hope he makes the effort to get there
he cannot be dropping passes
Posted: Sun May 19, 2013 7:08 pm
by HTTRRG3ALMO
SkinsJock wrote:SkinsJock wrote:I'd agree with the thinking about Hankerson's upside but I think he has to show a lot in OTAs and training camp to make the roster
I am all for this guy becoming a force for this squad - I'm wondering if he's going to take advantage of his talents and where he is right now
I understand that this sounds like I don't think Hankerson will do well ... that's not really correct
I do like what Hank has done - I just think that he has not been as 'effective' a WR as the coaches expect ...
he's done well, I just think he has not lived up to the expectations
AGAIN
I just have a feeling that he needs to take the next step and I think that has to happen early or his 'opportunities' may be limited
Hankerson could be a really big play WR for these guys and I hope he makes the effort to get there
he cannot be dropping passes
What about this UDFA Lance Lewis we signed. My guess is that he's probably a long shot, but is there a strong opinion about him in general? Good or bad?
Posted: Sun May 19, 2013 10:09 pm
by brad7686
If Garcon and Davis are healthy, guys like Hankerson and Robinson will be given better chances to exploit matchups. I hope one of them overtakes Morgan and gets more chances.
Posted: Mon May 20, 2013 9:00 am
by Chris Luva Luva
SkinsJock wrote:I do like what Hank has done - I just think that he has not been as 'effective' a WR as the coaches expect ...
he's done well, I just think he has not lived up to the expectations
And this is simply based off of the quote below?
SkinsJock wrote:I just have a feeling
SkinsJock wrote:he cannot be dropping passes
Wasn't there a stat in another thread showing that Garcon, Morgan and Moss dropped a higher percentage of passes than him? If anything, Hankerson needs to improve on his agility. He gets off kilter easily, it seems.
Posted: Mon May 20, 2013 9:48 am
by riggofan
Chris Luva Luva wrote:Wasn't there a stat in another thread showing that Garcon, Morgan and Moss dropped a higher percentage of passes than him? If anything, Hankerson needs to improve on his agility. He gets off kilter easily, it seems.
Yep:
Per PFF, Hankerson was targeted 55 times and he had 38 receptions and three drops. That gives him a drop rate of 7.32 percent. Of the 82 NFL wide receivers who played at least 25 percent of their teams’ snaps that is the 28th-best drop rate.
That’s not great but it was the best on the team. Pierre Garçon caught 44 passes and dropped five, a drop rate of 10.2 percent (51st in the NFL). Josh Morgan’s caught 48 and dropped seven for a rate of 12.73 percent (67th). Santana Moss, with six drops and 41 receptions had a rate of 12.77 (68th).
Posted: Mon May 20, 2013 10:04 am
by Chris Luva Luva
brad7686 wrote:If Garcon and Davis are healthy, guys like Hankerson and Robinson will be given better chances to exploit matchups. I hope one of them overtakes Morgan and gets more chances.
Whats your issue with Morgan? While gimpy, he still led the team in receptions last year. I'd much rather hope for everyone to return 100% healthy and contribute at a high level.
Posted: Mon May 20, 2013 10:25 am
by Deadskins
Chris Luva Luva wrote:brad7686 wrote:If Garcon and Davis are healthy, guys like Hankerson and Robinson will be given better chances to exploit matchups. I hope one of them overtakes Morgan and gets more chances.
Whats your issue with Morgan? While gimpy, he still led the team in receptions last year. I'd much rather hope for everyone to return 100% healthy and contribute at a high level.
+1
Morgan excels at blocking downfield as well. I'd like to see the those others elevate that part of their game too.
Posted: Mon May 20, 2013 10:40 am
by Chris Luva Luva
Deadskins wrote:Morgan excels at blocking downfield as well. I'd like to see the those others elevate that part of their game too.
I think that the recent WR threads have been a true revelation. They haven't only shed light on the true production of our WR's. But it's also showing how much we don't really know about them. I'll be the 1st to admit that I was shocked to learn that Morgan led the team in receptions. I was shocked to learn how productive Hank was. I was shocked about how much of potent weapon Davis was before going down.
Posted: Mon May 20, 2013 11:18 am
by riggofan
Totally agree. I think as fans we form this impression of the WRs based on a couple of games from last season. Hankerson may have had less dropped passes for example, but probably a lot of us remember one of those drops was an easy TD against Pittsburgh.
Late in the first quarter, receiver Leonard Hankerson blew a chance for a touchdown. He had his man beat on a crossing pattern, and a pass from Griffin hit him perfectly at the 3-yard line. But the second-year pro let the ball bounce off his hands and land in the grass.
I can't remember any of Garcon's drops, but I sure remember his catch against New Orleans.
Posted: Mon May 20, 2013 11:44 am
by Chris Luva Luva
riggofan wrote:I can't remember any of Garcon's drops, but I sure remember his catch against New Orleans.
And as fans, this is to be expected! That's normal. But in the face of evidence, we can't ignore what other folks have brought to the table.
If Josh led the team in receptions while not being 100% at ANY point during the season, why hope for him to be surpassed? I hope that he can build upon last year. Heck, it excites me that he did that at 70%. It makes you wonder what he'll do at 100%... What about the amazing heads up play against our second game vs the Giants. When RGIII fumbled (which he does A LOT) and Morgan not only recovers but scored a TD. Morgan was the option on that play, and after RGIII kept it and ran with it, he followed the play step for step. He stayed with the play, he supported his teammates and gave 100% effort. That TD is the difference in winning that game, keeping the streak going, making the playoffs....
We're about to run into a really good problem. Too many play makers and not enough positions on the field.
Posted: Mon May 20, 2013 11:55 am
by The Hogster
The Garcon injury can skew the team stats based on rankings last year. If Garcon were healthy, he would have lead the team in receptions, yards, probably every stat. Nonetheless, I agree with the points made here. I like Morgan, I just think that Hankerson offers a greater upside.
If you go back to college, Morgan has always been a minimal touchdown guy. In other words, he is a great complimentary receiver, but Hankerson could become a guy who can score more frequently--a play maker--but he has to prove he can do the other things better than Morgan, which he apparently wasn't able to do just yet.
I hope Morgan is 100% and I hope Hankerson improves. This is a good problem to have though!
HAIL
Posted: Mon May 20, 2013 12:12 pm
by Chris Luva Luva
The Hogster wrote:The Garcon injury can skew the team stats based on rankings last year. If Garcon were healthy, he would have lead the team in receptions, yards, probably every stat.
Point taken. However, historically Garcon is pretty injury prone.
The Hogster wrote:Nonetheless, I agree with the points made here. I like Morgan, I just think that Hankerson offers a greater upside.
I honestly don't disagree/agree. I think both players have more potential to realize. We have yet to see a healthy Morgan and I'm curious to see what he'll bring to the table.
The Hogster wrote:If you go back to college, Morgan has always been a minimal touchdown guy. In other words, he is a great complimentary receiver, but Hankerson could become a guy who can score more frequently--a play maker--but he has to prove he can do the other things better than Morgan, which he apparently wasn't able to do just yet.
I'll have to really look again at Hanks plays. I've never thought of him as a playmaker. He seems to really stumble over his own feet a lot, doesn't seem particulary agile. Heck, the one WR that had a standout jump ball situation was Santana Moss, lololol.
Again, not in disagreement but I'm curious. Could you refresh my memory and point out some plays for me?
The Hogster wrote:I hope Morgan is 100% and I hope Hankerson improves. This is a good problem to have though!HAIL
Agreed.
Posted: Mon May 20, 2013 12:30 pm
by The Hogster
Chris Luva Luva wrote:
I'll have to really look again at Hanks plays. I've never thought of him as a playmaker. He seems to really stumble over his own feet a lot, doesn't seem particulary agile. Heck, the one WR that had a standout jump ball situation was Santana Moss, lololol.
Again, not in disagreement but I'm curious. Could you refresh my memory and point out some plays for me?
The Hogster wrote:I hope Morgan is 100% and I hope Hankerson improves. This is a good problem to have though!HAIL
Agreed.
I agree that Hankerson seems to trip over his own feet, a lot. I am hopeful that is a product of his hip injury rather than clumsiness. But, as far as him being a play maker--in college--he never had less than 6 touchdowns in a season in which he started. And, as a senior he broke Michael Irvin's Miami record for Touchdowns in a season with 13. His 4.4 forty time is also the kind of speed you'd want out of a WR. He finds ways to get open more importantly. A lot of his catches are wide open (then he falls over himself) but still.
Check out some of his college highlights. Go to the :41 second mark for an example of his pre-injury agility. Some say hip injuries take a 2 seasons to fully heal. Maybe that was what caused his balance issues.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SUWdlIb4hfU
Here are some of his Redskins highlights. Hopefully a year of health and improvement has him ready to take the leap.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f0ER1fz5WvA
Posted: Mon May 20, 2013 12:33 pm
by Chris Luva Luva
The Hogster wrote:I am hopeful that is a product of his hip injury rather than clumsiness. But, as far as him being a play maker--in college--he never had less than 6 touchdowns in a season in which he started. And, as a senior he broke Michael Irvin's Miami record for Touchdowns in a season with 13. His 4.4 forty time is also the kind of speed you'd want out of a WR. He finds ways to get open more importantly. A lot of his catches are wide open (then he falls over himself) but still.
Good point, I didn't even think to factor in his injury. I agree, that he does get open, it's just his YAC that's an issue.
The Hogster wrote:Check out some of his college highlights. Go to the :41 second mark for an example of his pre-injury agility. Some say hip injuries take a 2 seasons to fully heal. Maybe that was what caused his balance issues.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SUWdlIb4hfU
Here are some of his Redskins highlights. Hopefully a year of health and improvement has him ready to take the leap.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f0ER1fz5WvA
Thanks a lot, I'll check it out as soon as I get home.
If anyone is in danger of being unseated, it's Briscoe. I advocated for him making the team last year, he showed up in preseason but didn't make the most of his chances during the season.
Posted: Mon May 20, 2013 12:50 pm
by HTTRRG3ALMO
Deadskins wrote:Chris Luva Luva wrote:brad7686 wrote:If Garcon and Davis are healthy, guys like Hankerson and Robinson will be given better chances to exploit matchups. I hope one of them overtakes Morgan and gets more chances.
Whats your issue with Morgan? While gimpy, he still led the team in receptions last year. I'd much rather hope for everyone to return 100% healthy and contribute at a high level.
+1
Morgan excels at blocking downfield as well. I'd like to see the those others elevate that part of their game too.
My attitude towards Morgan has changed during the off-season because of this and what CLL said about playing hurt.
I wasn't aware of his injury and am looking forward to what he can do at 100%. I just hope he's healed up by then; so many players healing right now.