The-Hogs.net - Washington Football Discussion, Redskins to Commanders Era

We opened as 2.5 point home dogs.

If Vegas is trying to reflect/predict public opinion then the betting public thinks the SheHawks are 5.5 points better than we on a neutral field. That seems extreme to me. So far, 52% of the cash is on SEA.

5 teams beat SEA on the road this year - ARZ, RAM, 49R, DET, MIA.

DET is the only team to put more than 24 on SEA this year - they scored 28.

SEA has been a low scoring team too. They put up 50 twice lately but that was all about their D - once at home and once at BUF - and that was in Canada, not at BUF.

We are now 3 point home dogs.

I like that.

i think we'll be quite fine if our defense keeps getting well timed turnovers! !

Wow, hey, nice avatar DM! Is it new or have I just not been paying attention?

I was surprised at that line. I expected it to be a pick em or 1 point favorites seeing how SEA doesn't play well on the road.

I hope the Skins are a 5-point underdogs by game-time. The less respect, the better they play.

Come on world: underestimate these Redskins!

Bob 0119 wrote:Wow, hey, nice avatar DM! Is it new or have I just not been paying attention?

Brand new. Let me go dig. I have to thank someone.

DarthMonk wrote:We opened as 2.5 point home dogs.

We started at 4.5 shortly after the Dallas game. It moved to 3.0 and then to 2.5.

REMEMBER people, this is just a measure of the amounts of bets placed and not "experts" views. What the movement means is that MOST people placing bets LIKED to bet on the Skins with THOSE original spreads (+4.5 and +3.0).

This is a tough game to call. Somehow, I have a feeling that one team may blow the other if and when things work out well for one and not the other. Both teams can score quickly and often. The one with the better plan on offense and defense will win.

I am much less inclined to think that a close game may happen. But I have been wrong many times before.

So, my prediction is:

This will be a high scoring game with more than a TD difference in favour of the winner.

Now, think about it: if Arizona, Miami, St Louis, and Detroit, among others, won at home against Seattle, can we do it? I like our chances. Just make sure that the refs do not do another FAIL MARY call or Mara's accomplices do not officiate our game. YES< officiating may play a VERY significant role in this game. Seattle secondary does a lot of interference (pulling and shoving) and those penalties need to be called.

Skins win 31-17

The Hogster wrote:Skins win 31-17

Most people could call this crazy but I do not really think it is. It is one scenario that can actually have a good chance to happen.

I forgot to mention the importance of special teams. We need good returns from kickoffs and punts. We need to stop big plays from them on special teams.i am not sure whom I would want to put in there from us to return. Crawford? Paul? Hall? Who?

Redskin in Canada wrote:

DarthMonk wrote:We opened as 2.5 point home dogs.

We started at 4.5 shortly after the Dallas game. It moved to 3.0 and then to 2.5.

Must be a London book. Everything I see says opend at 1.5 to 2.5 then moved to 3.

Examples:

http://www.madduxsports.com/nfl-odds.php#odds

http://linemakers.sportingnews.com/nfl/ ... s-redskins

Redskin in Canada wrote:REMEMBER people, this is just a measure of the amounts of bets placed and not "experts" views. What the movement means is that MOST people placing bets LIKED to bet on the Skins with THOSE original spreads (+4.5 and +3.0).

Not necessarily. Sometimes Vegas tries to win outright.

Redskin in Canada wrote:This is a tough game to call. Somehow, I have a feeling that one team may blow the other if and when things work out well for one and not the other. Both teams can score quickly and often. The one with the better plan on offense and defense will win.

I am much less inclined to think that a close game may happen. But I have been wrong many times before.

So, my prediction is:

This will be a high scoring game with more than a TD difference in favour of the winner.

Now, think about it: if Arizona, Miami, St Louis, and Detroit, among others, won at home against Seattle, can we do it? I like our chances. Just make sure that the refs do not do another FAIL MARY call or Mara's accomplices do not officiate our game. YES< officiating may play a VERY significant role in this game. Seattle secondary does a lot of interference (pulling and shoving) and those penalties need to be called.

I like our chances too.

The Hogster wrote:Skins win 31-17

I like this prediction.

Superbowl winning chances. Most houses do not give us much of a chance in general (1/18 ) and their logic points at us losing this game (Seahawks 1/12):



I think that the Falcons and Seahawks are overrated.

Redskin in Canada wrote:I think that the Falcons and Seahawks are overrated.

Both are very tough at home. The difference is Atlanta has home field advantage throughout. That said, we will beat Atlanta at home, next week.

Deadskins wrote:

Redskin in Canada wrote:I think that the Falcons and Seahawks are overrated.

Both are very tough at home. The difference is Atlanta has home field advantage throughout. That said, we will beat Atlanta at home, next week.

no doubt - Falcons and Sqwarks are overrated

Each year, a number of teams considered 'better' or are 'rated' higher, lose in the playoffs

we can win the next 2 .... after that ....

THINK ABOUT IT

right now we're playing better than the g strings were last year ....


No team wants to play against the Redskins, right now - it's not that we're better - we're just able to find a way to win the game

that's what's so rewarding about the way this team has responded

SkinsJock wrote:No team wants to play against the Redskins, right now - it's not that we're better - we're just able to find a way to win the game

I totally disagree. We are the better team.

Redskin in Canada wrote:

The Hogster wrote:Skins win 31-17

Most people could call this crazy but I do not really think it is. It is one scenario that can actually have a good chance to happen.

I forgot to mention the importance of special teams. We need good returns from kickoffs and punts. We need to stop big plays from them on special teams.i am not sure whom I would want to put in there from us to return. Crawford? Paul? Hall? Who?

The Seahawks have a very good special teams unit. Very good...they block field goals, and Leon Washington is a very good returner.

Deadskins wrote:

Redskin in Canada wrote:I think that the Falcons and Seahawks are overrated.

Both are very tough at home. The difference is Atlanta has home field advantage throughout. That said, we will beat Atlanta at home, next week.

+1