REDSKINS UNDER 7 1/2 Wins
Posted: Thu Aug 05, 2010 5:38 am
This one just jumps out at me as a play that I cant pass up. I can see why they are bumping up the Redskins win total so high, as this is an entirely different Redskins team than that from last year.
I think the books/Vegas is expecting a lot of squares to just come jumping on this Redskin bandwagon now as it is a 100% different team, and as a result this win total has been set way way way too high.
I see this total at 8 under -175 in one spot but in most places its under 7 1/2 +100 or +110. IMO there is no reason to lay the -175 juice because the Redskins wont even sniff 6 wins let alone 8.
The reason that the win total is set so high is this. They have a new coach in 2 time superbowl winner Mike Shanahan, They brought over Donavan McNabb from division rival Philly, they added Jason Campbell from the Raiders, they added Larry Johnson from teh Bengals, and Willie Parker from the Steelers.
They did all this adding while managing to hold onto all their star players. the Redskins return Santan Moss, Clinton Portis, and London Fletcher. I think the average bettor will look at this newly restyled Redskin team and think wow, they will win 8 games easy. I promise you that they wont.
Number 1, Donovan McNabb is an old man, who wasnt even that good 5 years ago. Dude is almost 34 years old, this guy is almost as old as Brett Farve. There is a reason that the Eagles let him go to a division rival, they know he isnt very good. Would the Colts trade Manning to Tennessee ? Would they Patriots trade Brady to The Jets ? Did the Packers trade Farve to the Vikings ? Of course not. The Eagles did it because they know that McNabb is not going to be a threat to them.
Next, there is a lot that this team will have a great running game since they added Johnson and Parker to shore up the backfield with Portis. These guys are all old, they are all in their 30's which is old in NFL terms. Last year, these 3 guys combined for a total of 1 touchdown and less than 490 total yards average. So its questionable to me why anyone thinks these guys are going to make the Redskins a running game powerhouse.
This team had the worst passing defense in the NFL last year and they didnt draft any linemen last year, so the whole job is pretty much left to Phillip daniels who is starting his 14th season and has only 3 sacks in the last 3 seasons.
This team is very old, this team has terrible pass defense and not very good rushing defense, this team also plays a very very tough schedule. This team flat out wont win 8 games. No way. Not in one of the best conferences in the NFL.
I am not sold on this offense as so many people seem to be, but even if you believe in this offense it doesnt do any good at all if your defense cant stop the opponent and get your offense back on the field. Dont forget, this team gave up 85 points in its last 3 games last season, and 158 points in its last 6. The defense was miserable and nothing has been dont to improve it.
The Redksins schedule is brutal. They obviously play 6 games against Eagles, Cowboys, and Giants. They will be very very lucky to go 2-4 in these 6 as the Cowboys and Giants will be very good and I think the Eagles will be pretty good as well. Then in non division games, they have to play Houston, Indianapolis, Green Bay, Chicago, Tennessee, Minnesota, and Jacksonville.
I really believe they will go 0-4 against the AFC South. That makes 8 losses right there even before you figure they probably go 1-2 against Green Bay, Minnesota, and the Bears.
I dont see how this total is 7 1/2 and + 100 to the under because I see the Redskins finishing 5-11 or 4-12.
http://www.canada-jerseys.com/NFL-Jerse ... -Redskins/
I think the books/Vegas is expecting a lot of squares to just come jumping on this Redskin bandwagon now as it is a 100% different team, and as a result this win total has been set way way way too high.
I see this total at 8 under -175 in one spot but in most places its under 7 1/2 +100 or +110. IMO there is no reason to lay the -175 juice because the Redskins wont even sniff 6 wins let alone 8.
The reason that the win total is set so high is this. They have a new coach in 2 time superbowl winner Mike Shanahan, They brought over Donavan McNabb from division rival Philly, they added Jason Campbell from the Raiders, they added Larry Johnson from teh Bengals, and Willie Parker from the Steelers.
They did all this adding while managing to hold onto all their star players. the Redskins return Santan Moss, Clinton Portis, and London Fletcher. I think the average bettor will look at this newly restyled Redskin team and think wow, they will win 8 games easy. I promise you that they wont.
Number 1, Donovan McNabb is an old man, who wasnt even that good 5 years ago. Dude is almost 34 years old, this guy is almost as old as Brett Farve. There is a reason that the Eagles let him go to a division rival, they know he isnt very good. Would the Colts trade Manning to Tennessee ? Would they Patriots trade Brady to The Jets ? Did the Packers trade Farve to the Vikings ? Of course not. The Eagles did it because they know that McNabb is not going to be a threat to them.
Next, there is a lot that this team will have a great running game since they added Johnson and Parker to shore up the backfield with Portis. These guys are all old, they are all in their 30's which is old in NFL terms. Last year, these 3 guys combined for a total of 1 touchdown and less than 490 total yards average. So its questionable to me why anyone thinks these guys are going to make the Redskins a running game powerhouse.
This team had the worst passing defense in the NFL last year and they didnt draft any linemen last year, so the whole job is pretty much left to Phillip daniels who is starting his 14th season and has only 3 sacks in the last 3 seasons.
This team is very old, this team has terrible pass defense and not very good rushing defense, this team also plays a very very tough schedule. This team flat out wont win 8 games. No way. Not in one of the best conferences in the NFL.
I am not sold on this offense as so many people seem to be, but even if you believe in this offense it doesnt do any good at all if your defense cant stop the opponent and get your offense back on the field. Dont forget, this team gave up 85 points in its last 3 games last season, and 158 points in its last 6. The defense was miserable and nothing has been dont to improve it.
The Redksins schedule is brutal. They obviously play 6 games against Eagles, Cowboys, and Giants. They will be very very lucky to go 2-4 in these 6 as the Cowboys and Giants will be very good and I think the Eagles will be pretty good as well. Then in non division games, they have to play Houston, Indianapolis, Green Bay, Chicago, Tennessee, Minnesota, and Jacksonville.
I really believe they will go 0-4 against the AFC South. That makes 8 losses right there even before you figure they probably go 1-2 against Green Bay, Minnesota, and the Bears.
I dont see how this total is 7 1/2 and + 100 to the under because I see the Redskins finishing 5-11 or 4-12.
http://www.canada-jerseys.com/NFL-Jerse ... -Redskins/
