Scouts Inc. FINAL MOCK
Posted: Wed Apr 20, 2005 4:06 pm
Round 1
1. San Francisco 49ers (2-14)
Alex Smith* | QB | Utah
There isn't a lot that separates Aaron Rodgers from Smith. There are concerns about the schemes in which both prospects played at the college level. Rodgers has the better arm, but Smith has the bigger frame. What it all comes down to, though, is that new head coach Mike Nolan seems to have fallen in love with Smith's intelligence, charisma and overall intangibles – and who can blame him. The 49ers haven't made a final decision yet, but we are getting the strong sense that Smith will be their final choice. They will work hard to have a deal in place by Saturday, but contrary to popular belief, we're hearing the team will consider drafting him even if he's unsigned. Stay tuned.
Other scenarios:
• The 49ers are still trying to get a deal done for Smith, but his agent, Tom Condon, who also did the deal last year for Eli Manning (Giants), is understandably not budging. He wants the deal for Smith to follow traditional slotting procedure, which means he's looking for at least a small percentage more than what Manning got from the Giants. Due to the 49ers concern that they won't get a deal done for Smith, they've also contacted several teams about a trade-down possibility. The most likely scenario is with the Buccaneers at No. 5. That would allow them to acquire extra picks and still get a future starting QB in Rodgers with the fifth selection.
• If they can't get a deal done with Smith and can't trade down, Rodgers or WR Braylon Edwards become possibilities.
2. Miami Dolphins (4-12)
Ronnie Brown | RB | Auburn
New head coach Nick Saban and his staff have addressed needs along the offensive line and throughout the defense via free agency. The team also has decided QB A.J. Feeley is the starter for at least one year, in which he will be evaluated within the new scheme. That leaves running back as the top need, and Brown as the most deserving candidate. Cedric Benson (Texas) might be the more powerful runner, and Carnell Williams (Auburn) might be the most elusive, but Brown is the best overall running back in this year's draft. Brown is big, strong and fast enough to carry a heavy load in the NFL, and he also possesses considerably better skills in the passing game – blocker and receiver – than those of Benson and Williams.
Other scenarios:
• Trade down with Buccaneers and still get a running back such as Auburn's Williams.
• Trade down with Vikings and address the defense – OLB Derrick Johnson (Texas) and DC Antrel Rolle are leading candidates.
• Draft QB Alex Smith if he doesn't go to the 49ers at No. 1.
3. Cleveland Browns (4-12)
Braylon Edwards | WR | Michigan
The top prospect on the Browns' board evidently is Edwards. Even though they have greater needs at offensive tackle and quarterback, new general manager Phil Savage isn't going to stray from his draft philosophy of selecting the best available player, regardless of position. Edwards has an outstanding combination of size and speed, and he's a flat-out playmaker when the ball is up for grabs. His ability to stretch defenses could make up for a lot of other sins along the offensive line and at the quarterback position.
Other scenarios:
• The Browns' draft board starts with Smith and Edwards.
• If both are gone by No. 3, the Browns will try desperately to trade down.
• If they do trade down, the team is rumored to have heavy interest in Texas OLB Derrick Johnson and Georgia DE David Pollack. Reportedly, new head coach Romeo Crennel is pushing for Johnson at No. 3, but Savage thinks that's too high.
• If Smith and Edwards are gone and the Browns can't get a deal done to move down, Johnson is the odds-on favorite to be the pick.
• If the Browns trade down and Johnson is off the board, Pollack becomes the odds-on favorite.
• If the Browns trade down and Johnson and Pollack both are off the board, Florida State OT Alex Barron would have to become the priority.
4. Chicago Bears (5-11)
Cedric Benson | RB | Texas
The Bears have enough young talent on defense, but they desperately need more playmakers on offense. If they wind up keeping this pick, they'll likely have a difficult decision to make between Benson, RB Carnell Williams and WR Mike Williams. Mike Williams fits the value, but he might not give the Bears the vertical presence they're looking for opposite free-agent acquisition Muhsin Muhammad. While Carnell Williams ranks higher on most draft boards, Benson is the better fit for new offensive coordinator Ron Turner's power running scheme. The team brought in Thomas Jones a year ago when Terry Shea was implementing more of a Rams- and Chiefs-like scheme, which emphasized versatility at the running back position. Now that the focus has shifted, Benson becomes a much better fit than Jones as a 25-30 carry-per-game "bell cow" at the running back position.
Other scenarios:
• If Auburn RB Ronnie Brown fell to No. 4, he most likely would be the pick.
• We're told the team rates Benson over Carnell Williams and Mike Williams over Edwards.
• If Benson and Mike Williams are both on the board, the Bears would have a tough decision, but we think they are leaning towards Benson. • The team also will consider moving down, but the deal would have to be sweet. No matter where they wind up, drafting a playmaker at running back, wide receiver or tight end is a high priority.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-11)
Carnell Williams | RB | Auburn
The Buccaneers could go in several directions with this pick, including RB, OT, OG, QB, WR, DT or DB. If Rodgers is available here, the decision will be much harder. Williams still needs to improve as a blocker, but he's the shiftiest and most elusive of the big three RBs (Brown and Benson), and he has the hands to become a legitimate weapon as a receiver out of the backfield. It also won't hurt Williams' chances that Gruden fell in love with him while coaching him at the Senior Bowl.
Other scenarios:
• Get a reasonable deal done in order to secure QB Smith. At this point, it seems it would require trading up to the No. 1 spot, and that is a highly unlikely scenario.
• Trade up to the No. 2 overall pick and select RB Brown.
• Stay at No. 5 and take the best available running back in the following order: Brown, Williams or Benson.
• Stay at No. 5 and take the best available wide receiver: Edwards or Williams.
• Stay at No. 5 and draft QB Rodgers.
• Trade down, acquire even more picks and take the best available RB or WR.
• Stay at No. 5 and draft a defensive player – OLB Johnson and DC Rolle are leading candidates.
6. Tennessee Titans (5-11)
Aaron Rodgers* | QB | California
This one obviously comes as a surprise, but don't rule it out. If our information is correct and Smith becomes the top overall choice, Rodgers could experience a slide. The Bucs are a possibility at No. 5, but we hear they have their hearts set on the Cadillac Williams if Smith is out of the picture. The Titans obviously are set at QB for 2005 with Steve McNair as their starter, and they also have depth with Billy Volek as his backup. But if Rodgers slips to them at No. 6, don't be shocked if they pull the trigger. McNair's longevity is in question, and Rodgers eventually could provide an upgrade over Volek. For a team clearly in rebuilding mode, drafting the best available player is the smartest route to take.
Other scenarios:
• Select WR Mike Williams.
• Select DC Antrel Rolle.
• Select DC Adam Jones.
• Trade down, continue to stockpile draft picks and consider the best prospects at WR (Troy Williamson and Mark Clayton), CB (Carlos Rogers and Marlin Jackson) and OT (Alex Barron and Jammal Brown).
7. Minnesota Vikings (from Raiders) (8-8)
Troy Williamson* | WR | South Carolina
The Vikings have few needs to address, and thanks to the Randy Moss trade can really focus in on them with two first round picks. This projected pick might come as a surprise with Mike Williams still on the board, but the Vikings are looking for a vertical threat, and Williamson gives them more deep speed than Williams. Williamson is a player on the rise after running in the 4.3's at the combine. He has the size, long arms, hands and explosive speed to quickly develop into a deep threat in the NFL, and he could eventually team up with Nate Burleson and Travis Taylor to form an impressive young trio of wide receivers.
Other scenarios:
• RB Ronnie Brown is rated ahead of Williamson and Mike Williams, so in the unlikely scenario that he fell, the Vikings would draft Brown, despite their log-jam at running back.
• If they get a reasonable deal, they could move into the top five and select WR Edwards, who they rate as the No. 1 WR in this class.
• Stay at No. 7 and select WR Mike Williams.
8. Arizona Cardinals (6-10)
Derrick Johnson | OLB | Texas
We still contend the Cardinals and Bills will get a trade done with Buffalo, dealing OT L.J. Shelton for RB Travis Henry, before or on draft day. Bills' general manager Tom Donahoe's request to flip-flop second round picks (Nos. 44 and 55) in addition should be matched. For the Cardinals, the thought process is to address one of their biggest needs with Henry taking over as the starting running back, while also giving them the freedom to draft the best available defensive player at pick No. 8. While cornerback is clearly their biggest defensive need, don't be shocked if Johnson is the pick. The depth at the cornerback class is much greater than at linebacker, and the team could use an elite player in the linebacker corps after making Ronald McKinnon, LeVar Woods and Ray Thompson salary-cap casualties in the offseason. Johnson still needs to become more physical and learn to take on blocks, but he has Derrick Brooks-like potential and immediately would upgrade the athleticism and playmaking skills of the Cardinals' defense.
Other scenarios:
• If the Cardinals get a deal done for Henry, they have the luxury of drafting Johnson because they can still draft a quality prospect from a deep cornerback position in the second round.
• If they get Henry and wind up drafting Rolle at No. 8, the team would continue to address the defense in the second round.
• If they don't get a deal done for a running back, the team would draft its highest rated prospect at the running back and cornerback positions – RB Brown, DC Rolle, RB Benson, RB Carnell Williams, DC Carlos Rogers and DC Jones.
• If that's the case, the team would use its second round pick on the position that it didn't address in the first round.
• If QB Rodgers slips to the Cardinals at No. 8, they would debate all possible options but would likely pass on him in favor of a defensive player or running back.
[b]9. Washington Redskins (6-10)
Mike Williams* | WR | USC
Everyone is talking about DC and DL for the Redskins, but we're starting to hear otherwise. The 'Skins are looking for playmakers on offense, and Williams could be the perfect fit as a big, physical receiver opposite the diminutive Santana Moss. Williams doesn't have elite speed, but he's faster than Keyshawn Johnson, and he projects as much more of a vertical weapon than Johnson has been in the NFL.
Other scenarios:
• It seems likely the Redskins will trade their newly acquired pick at No. 25 for a veteran defensive back. If that's the case, the team likely will use this selection on a wide receiver. Williamson is another viable option if he's available and Williams is gone.
• If no trade is in place, the team could draft the best available cornerback with this pick, in this order: Rolle, Jones or Rogers.
• Depending on the draft board and the potential trade for a veteran player, an impact pass rusher is also a possibility. Maryland's Shawne Merriman, Troy's Demarcus Ware, Wisconsin's Erasmus James and Georgia's David Pollack are the top candidates.[/b]
10. Detroit Lions (6-10)
Antrel Rolle | DC | Miami-Fla.
The Lions are in a great position with this pick. They certainly have bigger needs at right tackle and defensive end, but if a value like Rolle slips to them at No. 10 they'd be crazy not to capitalize. After all, Dre Bly and Fernando Bryant are both undersized cornerbacks in their late 20's. Adding a big, physical, young cornerback would give the unit great depth now and eventually would allow Bly or Ferguson to move inside to the slot, where both seem better suited. Rolle has the instincts, toughness and athletic ability to quickly become a solid starter in the NFL. His biggest obstacle in solidifying a potential spot in the top-10 was proving he was fast enough to turn and run with NFL receivers. His 4.49 40 at his pro-timing day eased those worries.
Other scenarios:
·• The Lions can simply sit tight at No. 10 and draft the best available prospect.
• Select OLB Johnson.
• Select OT Barron.
• Select a top pass rushing DE. From what we are hearing, it would be in this order: James, Merriman and Ware.
11. Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Demarcus Ware | DE | Troy
The Cowboys have been busy in free agency, addressing needs at defensive tackle (Jason Ferguson), quarterback (Drew Bledsoe) and cornerback (Anthony Henry). However, they are still in pursuit of upgrades at WR, offensive line (ROT) and OLB/DE. Ware's draft stock is skyrocketing after his impressive showing at the combine, and we think he's exactly the type of player coach Bill Parcells is looking for as the defense transitions from a 4-3 to a 3-4. Ware is a hybrid DE/OLB with explosive speed and loads of pass-rushing potential.
Other scenarios:
• Select DE/OLB Merriman.
• Select DE James.
• Select WR Williamson if he falls and if the pass rusher the team covets most is off the board.
12. San Diego Chargers (12-4)
Marcus Spears | DE | LSU
The Chargers were tied for the third-fewest sacks in the league (29) in 2004, which helps explain why they need to use one of their two first-round picks on a pass rusher. A rush linebacker is a possibility, but Spears is a better fit, as he is a 'tweener DE/DT who could really provide an upgrade over starter Jacques Cesaire at the LDE position opposite last year's second round pick, Igor Olshansky.
Other scenarios:
• Select WR Williams or Williamson, if one should happen to fall.
• Select the best available perimeter pass rusher: Merriman, James, Ware and Pollack.
13. Houston Texans (7-9)
Shawne Merriman* | OLB/DE | Maryland
The Texans drafted Jason Babin in the first round last year, but they need to find a legitimate pass rusher opposite him in their 3-4 scheme. Merriman has the speed, athleticism and instincts to immediately upgrade the Texans in that facet, which would allow them to move Kailee Wong to his natural position at inside linebacker.
Other scenarios:
• Select WR Troy Williamson if he falls.
• Choose between the best available perimeter pass rushers if Merriman is off the board: Ware, Pollack and James.
• If the right perimeter pass rusher isn't available, DE Spears (if he is available).
• Select OT Barron, if necessary.
14. Carolina Panthers (7-9)
Alex Barron | OT | Florida State
Barron could experience a bit of a slide on draft day because of his inconsistent effort and poor technique. But it would be difficult to imagine him slipping past the Panther's at No. 14. Barron needs to become more physical, but he is clearly the most naturally gifted offensive lineman in this draft. Barron has the size, strength and feet to develop into a starting right or left tackle in the NFL. If the Panthers were fortunate enough for Barron to fall to them here, he would solidify their offensive line. Mike Wahle could move back inside to his natural guard position, and Jordan Gross could remain at left tackle.
Other scenarios:
• OLB Johnson, if he falls.
• WR Troy Williamson, if he falls.
• RB's Benson or Carnell Williams, if one of the two falls.
• QB Rodgers, if he falls.
• If all else fails, Oklahoma OT Jammal Brown would be the pick.
15. Kansas City Chiefs (7-9)
Carlos Rogers | DC | Auburn
Rogers has good size and speed. Most importantly, he is a physical cover corner with the athletic ability and confidence to play both man-to-man and zone coverage in the NFL. He'd be a perfect fit in coordinator Gunther Cunningham's aggressive defensive scheme.
Other scenarios:
• The team would love for OLB Johnson to slip, but that's highly unlikely, and the Chiefs won't trade up for him.
• From what we're now hearing, the Chiefs have no intention of drafting a defensive lineman with this pick. It will either be a cornerback or a safety – regardless of whether or not they get a deal done with the Dolphins for Patrick Surtain.
• If Rolle and Rogers are off the board, the team would consider DC Jones. • The other option would be DS Thomas Davis with this pick, or trading down to the bottom of the round for FS Brodney Pool.
16. New Orleans Saints (8-8)
Adam Jones | DC | West Virginia
The team has a bigger need at linebacker, but Jones would be too good a value to pass up this late in the first round. Jones could slip due to size concerns, but we think he has the speed, toughness and confidence to develop into a shutdown cover corner in the NFL, and he's also an explosive return man.
Other scenarios:
• The Saints failed to land the prospects they wanted in first round of the last two drafts ( DT Dewayne Robertson in 2003 and LBs Jonathan Vilma and D.J. Williams in 2004), so a more aggressive approach might be in order this year. The problem is there won't be good values at the team's two biggest positions of need – LB and ROT. One option could be to move up in order to secure a prospect such as Texas OLB Derrick Johnson or FSU OT Alex Barron, but the team has just one pick in each of the seven rounds to work with.
• Selecting DS/WLB Thomas Davis is a possibility, in which case the team likely would move Davis to WLB.
• Other possibilities include: DC Rogers, OT Brown and Florida State DT Travis Johnson.
17. Cincinnati Bengals (8-8)
Erasmus James | DE | Wisconsin
If the Bengals can't bail from this pick, they'll simply use it to draft the best available player. In this scenario, James fits the description. James' less-than-impressive workout at the combine and his history of injuries might cause him to slip a little bit on draft day. He is still, however, one of the best pass-rushing DE prospects in this class, and he'd help take a lot of attention away from RDE Justin Smith. He would be considered a good find at pick No. 17.
Other scenarios:
• Trade down, acquire extra picks and focus on the following positions of need later in the draft where there is better value: ILB, OC, WR, DL and OL.
• Select the best available DE – possibly Pollack.
• Select a sliding cornerback – possibly Jones • Select DS Thomas Davis.
• Select WR Clayton.
• Select OT Brown.
• Select DT Johnson.
18. Minnesota Vikings (8-8)
David Pollack | DE | Georgia
Pollack might lack ideal size and top-end speed, but he has the quickness, power and playmaking instincts to contribute immediately in the NFL. The Vikings would be elated to walk away from the first round having found a vertical threat at wide receiver (Williamson at No. 7) and a pass-rushing upgrade opposite last year's first round pick, Kenechi Udeze.
Other scenarios:
• If they don't get a WR with their first selection (No. 7), the Vikings could select Oklahoma's Mark Clayton here.
• DS Davis is a strong possibility if they get a WR with their first pick and if the right fit at DE doesn't fall to them here.
• Other DEs who could be available include James and Oklahoma's Dan Cody.
19. St. Louis Rams (8-8)
Jammal Brown | OT | Oklahoma
The Rams could use an upgrade at defensive end, but finding a replacement for ROT Kyle Turley is a significantly bigger issue. Brown needs to become more physical, but he has the size and feet to develop into a solid starter in the NFL. He also has enough experience at the highest collegiate level to possibly step right in as a starter in 2005.
Other scenarios:
• Select the best DE on the board, potentially James, Pollack or Cody.
• Select the only other possible first-round OT: Washington's Khalif Barnes.
• Select Oklahoma FS Brodney Pool.
20. Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Thomas Davis* | S | Georgia
The Cowboys are rumored to have interest in trading out of this pick in order to acquire more Day 1 selections. Drafting a vertical receiver such as UAB's Roddy White also isn't out of the question. However, if they do stay put, the focus likely will remain on the defensive side of the ball, where coach Bill Parcells wants to get bigger and more physical. Davis is a good value late in the first round and is definitely a Parcells kind of player. Some teams consider Davis a weak-side linebacker, while others consider him a safety. The Cowboys have needs at both spots and could use Davis to plug one of them.
Other scenarios:
• Trade down and acquire an extra pick, ideally on Day 1 to make up for the third-round pick used on QB Drew Henson.
• Select the best available WR – Clayton or UAB's Roddy White.
• Select OT Brown.
• Select OT Barnes.
• Select FS Pool.
21. Jacksonville Jaguars (9-7)
Marlin Jackson | DC | Michigan
The Jaguars addressed their most glaring need (DE) with the free agency additions of Reggie Hayward and Marcellus Wiley. While the team still could use a Day 1 pick on an end who eventually could take over for Wiley, finding upgrades at cornerback and offensive tackle are greater priorities. After cutting DC's Dewayne Washington and Juran Bolden, it would be a surprise if the team didn't draft the best available cornerback at No. 21. Jackson doesn't have blazing speed but he's an excellent athlete with the size, toughness and confidence to quickly develop into a starter in the NFL.
Other scenarios:
• Select the best available OT – Brown or Barnes.
• Select the next best available DC – Nebraska's Fabien Washington or Clemson's Justin Miller.
• Select the best available DE – Cody or Iowa's Matt Roth.
22. Baltimore Ravens (9-7)
Mark Clayton | WR | Oklahoma
By adding WR Derrick Mason and DC Samari Rolle via free agency, the Ravens have given themselves a lot of draft-day flexibility. However, with Travis Taylor gone, the team still needs WR depth, and Clayton would be a great value at No. 22. He lacks elite size but has everything else scouts look for in a first-round wide receiver prospect, including quickness, speed and reliable hands. He might be the most polished receiver prospect in this year's draft.
Other scenarios:
• Select OT Brown, if available.
• Select the best available rush linebacker type – possibly Pollack, James, Cody or even Virginia OLB Darryl Blackstock.
• Select DT Johnson.
• Next best available prospect, regardless of position.
23. Seattle Seahawks (9-7)
Dan Cody | DE | Oklahoma
By adding DC Kelly Herndon, DE Bryce Fisher and OLB Jamie Sharper via free agency, the team has covered its bases and given itself some freedom to draft the best available player with this pick. Seattle still would like to get younger at all three of those positions, and Cody would be the best match in terms value and need. There are some concerns regarding Cody's medical condition (depression) that could result in him slipping this far, but he would be well worth the risk at No. 23. Cody has the athleticism, speed and instincts to step in as a rookie and immediately make an impact as a pass rusher.
Other scenarios:
• Could make a deal to trade RB Shaun Alexander.
• Have 10 total picks, so they can move up a few spots if they target a player they want – particularly at LB, DE or DC.
• Select the best available DE – possibly Cody or Roth.
• Select the best available DC – possibly Jackson, Washington or Miller.
• Select the best available DT – Johnson or USC's Shaun Cody.
• Select OLB Blackstock.
24. Green Bay Packers (10-6)
Travis Johnson | DT | Florida State
Johnson could slip due to a crass attitude and some character issues. But at pick No. 24, he would be a steal for the Packers. After struggling through some off-field issues that affected his play early in his career at FSU, Johnson had a breakout season as a fulltime starter in 2004. In our opinion, he's the best defensive tackle in this year's draft class, and he has a chance to make a huge impact early in his NFL career. He's a one-gap penetrating DT with enough bulk and strength to hold the point of attack. The Packers would like to find a legitimate pass rusher opposite Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila, but in this scenario there isn't one left to draft. By adding Johnson, the team would upgrade the size and depth of its interior run defense, which is just as big a concern.
Other scenarios:
• Trade down and accumulate picks, which is GM Ted Thompson's preferred method.
• Select DS Davis.
• Select the best available DE -- possibly Cody or Roth.
• Select FS Pool.
• Select QB's Jason Campbell (Auburn) or Charlie Frye (Akron).
• Select Blackstock or Tennessee OLB Kevin Burnett.
[b]25. Washington Redskins (from Denver) (6-10)
Fabian Washington* | DC | Nebraska
It made sense for Denver to trade out of this spot, because they still can get a good CB in the second round and they pick up an extra third-round pick this year, as well as Washington's first- and fourth-round picks in 2006. But for the Redskins, you don't make a trade for the 25th pick without an idea of what prospects will be available, and there's no way to know that three days before the draft. In our opinion, this move hints at a second deal in play for a veteran CB such as Charles Woodson, Darren Howard or John Abraham. If, however, the Redskins do hang on to this pick, their decision likely will come down to the best available DE or CB. In this scenario, Nebraska's Washington would be the pick. No player improved his stock at the combine more than Washington, who ran one of the fastest 40-yard dash times (4.25) in the history of the event. Washington doesn't have great size, but he is tough and has the athleticism, speed and ball skills the Redskins are searching for in Fred Smoot's eventual replacement.
Other scenarios:
• Trade this pick for a veteran CB (possibly Woodson) or DE (possibly Howard or Abraham).
• If the team takes a WR at No. 9, use this pick at CB (possibly Miller, if not Washington) or DE (possibly Cody or Roth).
• If they don't get a WR at No. 9 pick, they could use this pick on WR White.
• Washington also could consider Virginia TE Heath Miller.
• We're not buying the talk of Washington moving up to target Auburn QB Jason Campbell. One, why would coach Joe Gibbs want a developmental QB at this point in his career? Two, why leak word now that you want Campbell and give any other team who likes him the chance to move ahead of you?[/b]
26. New York Jets (10-6)
Heath Miller* | TE | Virginia
The Jets' most glaring weakness on either side of the ball is at cornerback, but their second biggest need is at tight end after Anthony Becht fled to Tampa Bay. Furthermore, Miller is a much better value than any cornerback the Jets could get with this pick. Miller lacks Todd Heap and Tony Gonzalez-type speed, but he's just a notch below the elite in terms of playmaking ability. He has very good size, is a smooth athlete, has a terrific feel for the passing game and might have the best hands of any skill-position player in this draft. There are some concerns right now about a lingering sports hernia injury that kept him from working out at the combine, but we think he would be a steal this late in the first round.
Other scenarios:
• Select the best available DC – possibly Jackson, Washington or Miller.
27. Atlanta Falcons (11-5)
Shaun Cody | DE | USC
Cody is a 'tweener DE/DT who would be a perfect fit as a one-gap penetrating DT, which is exactly what the Falcons are looking for in their scheme. The team has a solid starter in Rod Coleman and a good swing-man in Chad Lavalais, but it needs to find a true starter now that Ed Jasper is gone. Cody has the potential to fill that void.
Other scenarios:
• Trade out, acquire extra Day 1 picks to address needs at DT, DS, WR, DC and DE.
• Select the best available DT – possibly Johnson or Cody.
• Select the best available DS – possibly Pool.
• Select the best available WR – possibly White.
• Select the best available DC – possibly Washington or Miller.
• Select the best available DE – possibly Cody or Roth.
28. San Diego Chargers (12-4)
Roddy White | WR | Alabama-Birmingham
White left the Senior Bowl early with a hamstring injury, but he proved during the first couple days of practice that he has the speed and vertical playmaking capability to warrant first-round attention. He doesn't have elite size, but White has the speed to draw attention away from Keenan McCardell and oft-injured Reche Caldwell, which is something the Chargers desperately lack on their roster right now.
Other scenarios:
• If they don't get a DE with pick No. 12 and a perimeter pass-rusher like James or Cody slips, either would be a possibility here.
• Select FS Pool.
29. Indianapolis Colts (12-4)
Matt Roth | DE | Iowa
Roth is a high-motor player with great instincts, good power and better athleticism than he gets credit for. He would help to take attention away from RDE Dwight Freeney, while also providing a certain level of toughness that is missing in the team's defensive front-seven. The Colts have a bigger need at inside linebacker, but character issues should prevent them from taking a chance on the top two players at that position – Georgia's Odell Thurman and Florida's Channing Crowder. Other scenarios: • Select DT Johnson or DT Cody, if one falls.
• Select the best available DC – possibly Washington or Miller.
• Trade down, if they can get more picks, and still see value at DL, LB and/or DC early in the second round.
• Take a chance on an ILB such as Florida's Crowder or Georgia's Thurman, both of whom have character alerts.
30. Pittsburgh Steelers (15-1)
Khalif Barnes | OT | Washington
Barnes had a huge postseason, as he wowed NFL brass both at the Senior Bowl and the combine. He clearly has the athleticism and size to develop into an above-average starter at the next level. All he needs is good coaching and motivation. He's certainly worth the risk late in the first round for a Steelers team that will be looking for the best player available at offensive tackle, tight end, defensive tackle or cornerback.
Other scenarios:
• Select TE Miller, if he's available.
• Select a 3-4 DE, such as Cody if he slips.
• Select OT Barnes if he slips.
• Select the best available DC – possibly Washington or Miller.
• Reach for Arkansas WR/TE Matt Jones.
• Reach for an OL such as Ole Miss' Marcus Johnson or Michigan's David Baas.
31. Philadelphia Eagles (13-3)
Brodney Pool | S | Oklahoma
After re-signing DT Corey Simon and MLB Jeremiah Trotter, the Eagles' only need in the draft is depth. There's a good chance the team could package some of its five Day 1 picks and 13 overall picks to move around in this draft, but if the Eagles keep all five first-day selections we expect them to add prospects at four of the following five positions: guard/tackle, wide receiver, running back, defensive lineman, linebacker and safety. Safety might be the least of those needs, but Pool could be the best prospect available this late in the first round. His versatility and playmaking skills would provide much needed depth immediately, as well as future insurance.
Other scenarios:
• Package some of five Day 1 picks and/or 8 Day 2 picks to move up for a player they target at WR, DT, DE or TE.
• Select DT Cody if he slips.
• Select TE Miller if he slips.
• Select OT Barnes if he slips.
• Reach for DT Luis Castillo.
• Reach for Arkansas WR/TE Matt Jones.
32. New England Patriots (14-2)
Justin Miller | DC | Clemson
The Patriots have a bigger need at inside linebacker, but coach Bill Belichick won't fall into that trap on draft day. Thurman and Crowder are possibilities, but their respective character and mental-capacity issues are red flags for a team that weighs intangibles and intelligence so heavily in its personnel analysis. Rather than taking a chance, look for the Patriots to draft the best available player at pick No. 32. In this scenario, Miller would be an ideal fit. Not only does he address a need at cornerback, he also can help provide a much-needed spark in the return game.
Other scenarios:
• Select best available DC – possibly Jackson or Washington.
• Select best available ILB – possibly Thurman, Crowder or Nebraska's Barrett Ruud.
• Select best available OL – OT Barnes if he slips, or OG Baas, OT Johnson or Virginia OG Elton Brown.
Man, if Mike Williams dropped to us like Scouts Inc. expects I would die that instant! Wow would that be awesome!!
1. San Francisco 49ers (2-14)
Alex Smith* | QB | Utah
There isn't a lot that separates Aaron Rodgers from Smith. There are concerns about the schemes in which both prospects played at the college level. Rodgers has the better arm, but Smith has the bigger frame. What it all comes down to, though, is that new head coach Mike Nolan seems to have fallen in love with Smith's intelligence, charisma and overall intangibles – and who can blame him. The 49ers haven't made a final decision yet, but we are getting the strong sense that Smith will be their final choice. They will work hard to have a deal in place by Saturday, but contrary to popular belief, we're hearing the team will consider drafting him even if he's unsigned. Stay tuned.
Other scenarios:
• The 49ers are still trying to get a deal done for Smith, but his agent, Tom Condon, who also did the deal last year for Eli Manning (Giants), is understandably not budging. He wants the deal for Smith to follow traditional slotting procedure, which means he's looking for at least a small percentage more than what Manning got from the Giants. Due to the 49ers concern that they won't get a deal done for Smith, they've also contacted several teams about a trade-down possibility. The most likely scenario is with the Buccaneers at No. 5. That would allow them to acquire extra picks and still get a future starting QB in Rodgers with the fifth selection.
• If they can't get a deal done with Smith and can't trade down, Rodgers or WR Braylon Edwards become possibilities.
2. Miami Dolphins (4-12)
Ronnie Brown | RB | Auburn
New head coach Nick Saban and his staff have addressed needs along the offensive line and throughout the defense via free agency. The team also has decided QB A.J. Feeley is the starter for at least one year, in which he will be evaluated within the new scheme. That leaves running back as the top need, and Brown as the most deserving candidate. Cedric Benson (Texas) might be the more powerful runner, and Carnell Williams (Auburn) might be the most elusive, but Brown is the best overall running back in this year's draft. Brown is big, strong and fast enough to carry a heavy load in the NFL, and he also possesses considerably better skills in the passing game – blocker and receiver – than those of Benson and Williams.
Other scenarios:
• Trade down with Buccaneers and still get a running back such as Auburn's Williams.
• Trade down with Vikings and address the defense – OLB Derrick Johnson (Texas) and DC Antrel Rolle are leading candidates.
• Draft QB Alex Smith if he doesn't go to the 49ers at No. 1.
3. Cleveland Browns (4-12)
Braylon Edwards | WR | Michigan
The top prospect on the Browns' board evidently is Edwards. Even though they have greater needs at offensive tackle and quarterback, new general manager Phil Savage isn't going to stray from his draft philosophy of selecting the best available player, regardless of position. Edwards has an outstanding combination of size and speed, and he's a flat-out playmaker when the ball is up for grabs. His ability to stretch defenses could make up for a lot of other sins along the offensive line and at the quarterback position.
Other scenarios:
• The Browns' draft board starts with Smith and Edwards.
• If both are gone by No. 3, the Browns will try desperately to trade down.
• If they do trade down, the team is rumored to have heavy interest in Texas OLB Derrick Johnson and Georgia DE David Pollack. Reportedly, new head coach Romeo Crennel is pushing for Johnson at No. 3, but Savage thinks that's too high.
• If Smith and Edwards are gone and the Browns can't get a deal done to move down, Johnson is the odds-on favorite to be the pick.
• If the Browns trade down and Johnson is off the board, Pollack becomes the odds-on favorite.
• If the Browns trade down and Johnson and Pollack both are off the board, Florida State OT Alex Barron would have to become the priority.
4. Chicago Bears (5-11)
Cedric Benson | RB | Texas
The Bears have enough young talent on defense, but they desperately need more playmakers on offense. If they wind up keeping this pick, they'll likely have a difficult decision to make between Benson, RB Carnell Williams and WR Mike Williams. Mike Williams fits the value, but he might not give the Bears the vertical presence they're looking for opposite free-agent acquisition Muhsin Muhammad. While Carnell Williams ranks higher on most draft boards, Benson is the better fit for new offensive coordinator Ron Turner's power running scheme. The team brought in Thomas Jones a year ago when Terry Shea was implementing more of a Rams- and Chiefs-like scheme, which emphasized versatility at the running back position. Now that the focus has shifted, Benson becomes a much better fit than Jones as a 25-30 carry-per-game "bell cow" at the running back position.
Other scenarios:
• If Auburn RB Ronnie Brown fell to No. 4, he most likely would be the pick.
• We're told the team rates Benson over Carnell Williams and Mike Williams over Edwards.
• If Benson and Mike Williams are both on the board, the Bears would have a tough decision, but we think they are leaning towards Benson. • The team also will consider moving down, but the deal would have to be sweet. No matter where they wind up, drafting a playmaker at running back, wide receiver or tight end is a high priority.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-11)
Carnell Williams | RB | Auburn
The Buccaneers could go in several directions with this pick, including RB, OT, OG, QB, WR, DT or DB. If Rodgers is available here, the decision will be much harder. Williams still needs to improve as a blocker, but he's the shiftiest and most elusive of the big three RBs (Brown and Benson), and he has the hands to become a legitimate weapon as a receiver out of the backfield. It also won't hurt Williams' chances that Gruden fell in love with him while coaching him at the Senior Bowl.
Other scenarios:
• Get a reasonable deal done in order to secure QB Smith. At this point, it seems it would require trading up to the No. 1 spot, and that is a highly unlikely scenario.
• Trade up to the No. 2 overall pick and select RB Brown.
• Stay at No. 5 and take the best available running back in the following order: Brown, Williams or Benson.
• Stay at No. 5 and take the best available wide receiver: Edwards or Williams.
• Stay at No. 5 and draft QB Rodgers.
• Trade down, acquire even more picks and take the best available RB or WR.
• Stay at No. 5 and draft a defensive player – OLB Johnson and DC Rolle are leading candidates.
6. Tennessee Titans (5-11)
Aaron Rodgers* | QB | California
This one obviously comes as a surprise, but don't rule it out. If our information is correct and Smith becomes the top overall choice, Rodgers could experience a slide. The Bucs are a possibility at No. 5, but we hear they have their hearts set on the Cadillac Williams if Smith is out of the picture. The Titans obviously are set at QB for 2005 with Steve McNair as their starter, and they also have depth with Billy Volek as his backup. But if Rodgers slips to them at No. 6, don't be shocked if they pull the trigger. McNair's longevity is in question, and Rodgers eventually could provide an upgrade over Volek. For a team clearly in rebuilding mode, drafting the best available player is the smartest route to take.
Other scenarios:
• Select WR Mike Williams.
• Select DC Antrel Rolle.
• Select DC Adam Jones.
• Trade down, continue to stockpile draft picks and consider the best prospects at WR (Troy Williamson and Mark Clayton), CB (Carlos Rogers and Marlin Jackson) and OT (Alex Barron and Jammal Brown).
7. Minnesota Vikings (from Raiders) (8-8)
Troy Williamson* | WR | South Carolina
The Vikings have few needs to address, and thanks to the Randy Moss trade can really focus in on them with two first round picks. This projected pick might come as a surprise with Mike Williams still on the board, but the Vikings are looking for a vertical threat, and Williamson gives them more deep speed than Williams. Williamson is a player on the rise after running in the 4.3's at the combine. He has the size, long arms, hands and explosive speed to quickly develop into a deep threat in the NFL, and he could eventually team up with Nate Burleson and Travis Taylor to form an impressive young trio of wide receivers.
Other scenarios:
• RB Ronnie Brown is rated ahead of Williamson and Mike Williams, so in the unlikely scenario that he fell, the Vikings would draft Brown, despite their log-jam at running back.
• If they get a reasonable deal, they could move into the top five and select WR Edwards, who they rate as the No. 1 WR in this class.
• Stay at No. 7 and select WR Mike Williams.
8. Arizona Cardinals (6-10)
Derrick Johnson | OLB | Texas
We still contend the Cardinals and Bills will get a trade done with Buffalo, dealing OT L.J. Shelton for RB Travis Henry, before or on draft day. Bills' general manager Tom Donahoe's request to flip-flop second round picks (Nos. 44 and 55) in addition should be matched. For the Cardinals, the thought process is to address one of their biggest needs with Henry taking over as the starting running back, while also giving them the freedom to draft the best available defensive player at pick No. 8. While cornerback is clearly their biggest defensive need, don't be shocked if Johnson is the pick. The depth at the cornerback class is much greater than at linebacker, and the team could use an elite player in the linebacker corps after making Ronald McKinnon, LeVar Woods and Ray Thompson salary-cap casualties in the offseason. Johnson still needs to become more physical and learn to take on blocks, but he has Derrick Brooks-like potential and immediately would upgrade the athleticism and playmaking skills of the Cardinals' defense.
Other scenarios:
• If the Cardinals get a deal done for Henry, they have the luxury of drafting Johnson because they can still draft a quality prospect from a deep cornerback position in the second round.
• If they get Henry and wind up drafting Rolle at No. 8, the team would continue to address the defense in the second round.
• If they don't get a deal done for a running back, the team would draft its highest rated prospect at the running back and cornerback positions – RB Brown, DC Rolle, RB Benson, RB Carnell Williams, DC Carlos Rogers and DC Jones.
• If that's the case, the team would use its second round pick on the position that it didn't address in the first round.
• If QB Rodgers slips to the Cardinals at No. 8, they would debate all possible options but would likely pass on him in favor of a defensive player or running back.
[b]9. Washington Redskins (6-10)
Mike Williams* | WR | USC
Everyone is talking about DC and DL for the Redskins, but we're starting to hear otherwise. The 'Skins are looking for playmakers on offense, and Williams could be the perfect fit as a big, physical receiver opposite the diminutive Santana Moss. Williams doesn't have elite speed, but he's faster than Keyshawn Johnson, and he projects as much more of a vertical weapon than Johnson has been in the NFL.
Other scenarios:
• It seems likely the Redskins will trade their newly acquired pick at No. 25 for a veteran defensive back. If that's the case, the team likely will use this selection on a wide receiver. Williamson is another viable option if he's available and Williams is gone.
• If no trade is in place, the team could draft the best available cornerback with this pick, in this order: Rolle, Jones or Rogers.
• Depending on the draft board and the potential trade for a veteran player, an impact pass rusher is also a possibility. Maryland's Shawne Merriman, Troy's Demarcus Ware, Wisconsin's Erasmus James and Georgia's David Pollack are the top candidates.[/b]
10. Detroit Lions (6-10)
Antrel Rolle | DC | Miami-Fla.
The Lions are in a great position with this pick. They certainly have bigger needs at right tackle and defensive end, but if a value like Rolle slips to them at No. 10 they'd be crazy not to capitalize. After all, Dre Bly and Fernando Bryant are both undersized cornerbacks in their late 20's. Adding a big, physical, young cornerback would give the unit great depth now and eventually would allow Bly or Ferguson to move inside to the slot, where both seem better suited. Rolle has the instincts, toughness and athletic ability to quickly become a solid starter in the NFL. His biggest obstacle in solidifying a potential spot in the top-10 was proving he was fast enough to turn and run with NFL receivers. His 4.49 40 at his pro-timing day eased those worries.
Other scenarios:
·• The Lions can simply sit tight at No. 10 and draft the best available prospect.
• Select OLB Johnson.
• Select OT Barron.
• Select a top pass rushing DE. From what we are hearing, it would be in this order: James, Merriman and Ware.
11. Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Demarcus Ware | DE | Troy
The Cowboys have been busy in free agency, addressing needs at defensive tackle (Jason Ferguson), quarterback (Drew Bledsoe) and cornerback (Anthony Henry). However, they are still in pursuit of upgrades at WR, offensive line (ROT) and OLB/DE. Ware's draft stock is skyrocketing after his impressive showing at the combine, and we think he's exactly the type of player coach Bill Parcells is looking for as the defense transitions from a 4-3 to a 3-4. Ware is a hybrid DE/OLB with explosive speed and loads of pass-rushing potential.
Other scenarios:
• Select DE/OLB Merriman.
• Select DE James.
• Select WR Williamson if he falls and if the pass rusher the team covets most is off the board.
12. San Diego Chargers (12-4)
Marcus Spears | DE | LSU
The Chargers were tied for the third-fewest sacks in the league (29) in 2004, which helps explain why they need to use one of their two first-round picks on a pass rusher. A rush linebacker is a possibility, but Spears is a better fit, as he is a 'tweener DE/DT who could really provide an upgrade over starter Jacques Cesaire at the LDE position opposite last year's second round pick, Igor Olshansky.
Other scenarios:
• Select WR Williams or Williamson, if one should happen to fall.
• Select the best available perimeter pass rusher: Merriman, James, Ware and Pollack.
13. Houston Texans (7-9)
Shawne Merriman* | OLB/DE | Maryland
The Texans drafted Jason Babin in the first round last year, but they need to find a legitimate pass rusher opposite him in their 3-4 scheme. Merriman has the speed, athleticism and instincts to immediately upgrade the Texans in that facet, which would allow them to move Kailee Wong to his natural position at inside linebacker.
Other scenarios:
• Select WR Troy Williamson if he falls.
• Choose between the best available perimeter pass rushers if Merriman is off the board: Ware, Pollack and James.
• If the right perimeter pass rusher isn't available, DE Spears (if he is available).
• Select OT Barron, if necessary.
14. Carolina Panthers (7-9)
Alex Barron | OT | Florida State
Barron could experience a bit of a slide on draft day because of his inconsistent effort and poor technique. But it would be difficult to imagine him slipping past the Panther's at No. 14. Barron needs to become more physical, but he is clearly the most naturally gifted offensive lineman in this draft. Barron has the size, strength and feet to develop into a starting right or left tackle in the NFL. If the Panthers were fortunate enough for Barron to fall to them here, he would solidify their offensive line. Mike Wahle could move back inside to his natural guard position, and Jordan Gross could remain at left tackle.
Other scenarios:
• OLB Johnson, if he falls.
• WR Troy Williamson, if he falls.
• RB's Benson or Carnell Williams, if one of the two falls.
• QB Rodgers, if he falls.
• If all else fails, Oklahoma OT Jammal Brown would be the pick.
15. Kansas City Chiefs (7-9)
Carlos Rogers | DC | Auburn
Rogers has good size and speed. Most importantly, he is a physical cover corner with the athletic ability and confidence to play both man-to-man and zone coverage in the NFL. He'd be a perfect fit in coordinator Gunther Cunningham's aggressive defensive scheme.
Other scenarios:
• The team would love for OLB Johnson to slip, but that's highly unlikely, and the Chiefs won't trade up for him.
• From what we're now hearing, the Chiefs have no intention of drafting a defensive lineman with this pick. It will either be a cornerback or a safety – regardless of whether or not they get a deal done with the Dolphins for Patrick Surtain.
• If Rolle and Rogers are off the board, the team would consider DC Jones. • The other option would be DS Thomas Davis with this pick, or trading down to the bottom of the round for FS Brodney Pool.
16. New Orleans Saints (8-8)
Adam Jones | DC | West Virginia
The team has a bigger need at linebacker, but Jones would be too good a value to pass up this late in the first round. Jones could slip due to size concerns, but we think he has the speed, toughness and confidence to develop into a shutdown cover corner in the NFL, and he's also an explosive return man.
Other scenarios:
• The Saints failed to land the prospects they wanted in first round of the last two drafts ( DT Dewayne Robertson in 2003 and LBs Jonathan Vilma and D.J. Williams in 2004), so a more aggressive approach might be in order this year. The problem is there won't be good values at the team's two biggest positions of need – LB and ROT. One option could be to move up in order to secure a prospect such as Texas OLB Derrick Johnson or FSU OT Alex Barron, but the team has just one pick in each of the seven rounds to work with.
• Selecting DS/WLB Thomas Davis is a possibility, in which case the team likely would move Davis to WLB.
• Other possibilities include: DC Rogers, OT Brown and Florida State DT Travis Johnson.
17. Cincinnati Bengals (8-8)
Erasmus James | DE | Wisconsin
If the Bengals can't bail from this pick, they'll simply use it to draft the best available player. In this scenario, James fits the description. James' less-than-impressive workout at the combine and his history of injuries might cause him to slip a little bit on draft day. He is still, however, one of the best pass-rushing DE prospects in this class, and he'd help take a lot of attention away from RDE Justin Smith. He would be considered a good find at pick No. 17.
Other scenarios:
• Trade down, acquire extra picks and focus on the following positions of need later in the draft where there is better value: ILB, OC, WR, DL and OL.
• Select the best available DE – possibly Pollack.
• Select a sliding cornerback – possibly Jones • Select DS Thomas Davis.
• Select WR Clayton.
• Select OT Brown.
• Select DT Johnson.
18. Minnesota Vikings (8-8)
David Pollack | DE | Georgia
Pollack might lack ideal size and top-end speed, but he has the quickness, power and playmaking instincts to contribute immediately in the NFL. The Vikings would be elated to walk away from the first round having found a vertical threat at wide receiver (Williamson at No. 7) and a pass-rushing upgrade opposite last year's first round pick, Kenechi Udeze.
Other scenarios:
• If they don't get a WR with their first selection (No. 7), the Vikings could select Oklahoma's Mark Clayton here.
• DS Davis is a strong possibility if they get a WR with their first pick and if the right fit at DE doesn't fall to them here.
• Other DEs who could be available include James and Oklahoma's Dan Cody.
19. St. Louis Rams (8-8)
Jammal Brown | OT | Oklahoma
The Rams could use an upgrade at defensive end, but finding a replacement for ROT Kyle Turley is a significantly bigger issue. Brown needs to become more physical, but he has the size and feet to develop into a solid starter in the NFL. He also has enough experience at the highest collegiate level to possibly step right in as a starter in 2005.
Other scenarios:
• Select the best DE on the board, potentially James, Pollack or Cody.
• Select the only other possible first-round OT: Washington's Khalif Barnes.
• Select Oklahoma FS Brodney Pool.
20. Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Thomas Davis* | S | Georgia
The Cowboys are rumored to have interest in trading out of this pick in order to acquire more Day 1 selections. Drafting a vertical receiver such as UAB's Roddy White also isn't out of the question. However, if they do stay put, the focus likely will remain on the defensive side of the ball, where coach Bill Parcells wants to get bigger and more physical. Davis is a good value late in the first round and is definitely a Parcells kind of player. Some teams consider Davis a weak-side linebacker, while others consider him a safety. The Cowboys have needs at both spots and could use Davis to plug one of them.
Other scenarios:
• Trade down and acquire an extra pick, ideally on Day 1 to make up for the third-round pick used on QB Drew Henson.
• Select the best available WR – Clayton or UAB's Roddy White.
• Select OT Brown.
• Select OT Barnes.
• Select FS Pool.
21. Jacksonville Jaguars (9-7)
Marlin Jackson | DC | Michigan
The Jaguars addressed their most glaring need (DE) with the free agency additions of Reggie Hayward and Marcellus Wiley. While the team still could use a Day 1 pick on an end who eventually could take over for Wiley, finding upgrades at cornerback and offensive tackle are greater priorities. After cutting DC's Dewayne Washington and Juran Bolden, it would be a surprise if the team didn't draft the best available cornerback at No. 21. Jackson doesn't have blazing speed but he's an excellent athlete with the size, toughness and confidence to quickly develop into a starter in the NFL.
Other scenarios:
• Select the best available OT – Brown or Barnes.
• Select the next best available DC – Nebraska's Fabien Washington or Clemson's Justin Miller.
• Select the best available DE – Cody or Iowa's Matt Roth.
22. Baltimore Ravens (9-7)
Mark Clayton | WR | Oklahoma
By adding WR Derrick Mason and DC Samari Rolle via free agency, the Ravens have given themselves a lot of draft-day flexibility. However, with Travis Taylor gone, the team still needs WR depth, and Clayton would be a great value at No. 22. He lacks elite size but has everything else scouts look for in a first-round wide receiver prospect, including quickness, speed and reliable hands. He might be the most polished receiver prospect in this year's draft.
Other scenarios:
• Select OT Brown, if available.
• Select the best available rush linebacker type – possibly Pollack, James, Cody or even Virginia OLB Darryl Blackstock.
• Select DT Johnson.
• Next best available prospect, regardless of position.
23. Seattle Seahawks (9-7)
Dan Cody | DE | Oklahoma
By adding DC Kelly Herndon, DE Bryce Fisher and OLB Jamie Sharper via free agency, the team has covered its bases and given itself some freedom to draft the best available player with this pick. Seattle still would like to get younger at all three of those positions, and Cody would be the best match in terms value and need. There are some concerns regarding Cody's medical condition (depression) that could result in him slipping this far, but he would be well worth the risk at No. 23. Cody has the athleticism, speed and instincts to step in as a rookie and immediately make an impact as a pass rusher.
Other scenarios:
• Could make a deal to trade RB Shaun Alexander.
• Have 10 total picks, so they can move up a few spots if they target a player they want – particularly at LB, DE or DC.
• Select the best available DE – possibly Cody or Roth.
• Select the best available DC – possibly Jackson, Washington or Miller.
• Select the best available DT – Johnson or USC's Shaun Cody.
• Select OLB Blackstock.
24. Green Bay Packers (10-6)
Travis Johnson | DT | Florida State
Johnson could slip due to a crass attitude and some character issues. But at pick No. 24, he would be a steal for the Packers. After struggling through some off-field issues that affected his play early in his career at FSU, Johnson had a breakout season as a fulltime starter in 2004. In our opinion, he's the best defensive tackle in this year's draft class, and he has a chance to make a huge impact early in his NFL career. He's a one-gap penetrating DT with enough bulk and strength to hold the point of attack. The Packers would like to find a legitimate pass rusher opposite Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila, but in this scenario there isn't one left to draft. By adding Johnson, the team would upgrade the size and depth of its interior run defense, which is just as big a concern.
Other scenarios:
• Trade down and accumulate picks, which is GM Ted Thompson's preferred method.
• Select DS Davis.
• Select the best available DE -- possibly Cody or Roth.
• Select FS Pool.
• Select QB's Jason Campbell (Auburn) or Charlie Frye (Akron).
• Select Blackstock or Tennessee OLB Kevin Burnett.
[b]25. Washington Redskins (from Denver) (6-10)
Fabian Washington* | DC | Nebraska
It made sense for Denver to trade out of this spot, because they still can get a good CB in the second round and they pick up an extra third-round pick this year, as well as Washington's first- and fourth-round picks in 2006. But for the Redskins, you don't make a trade for the 25th pick without an idea of what prospects will be available, and there's no way to know that three days before the draft. In our opinion, this move hints at a second deal in play for a veteran CB such as Charles Woodson, Darren Howard or John Abraham. If, however, the Redskins do hang on to this pick, their decision likely will come down to the best available DE or CB. In this scenario, Nebraska's Washington would be the pick. No player improved his stock at the combine more than Washington, who ran one of the fastest 40-yard dash times (4.25) in the history of the event. Washington doesn't have great size, but he is tough and has the athleticism, speed and ball skills the Redskins are searching for in Fred Smoot's eventual replacement.
Other scenarios:
• Trade this pick for a veteran CB (possibly Woodson) or DE (possibly Howard or Abraham).
• If the team takes a WR at No. 9, use this pick at CB (possibly Miller, if not Washington) or DE (possibly Cody or Roth).
• If they don't get a WR at No. 9 pick, they could use this pick on WR White.
• Washington also could consider Virginia TE Heath Miller.
• We're not buying the talk of Washington moving up to target Auburn QB Jason Campbell. One, why would coach Joe Gibbs want a developmental QB at this point in his career? Two, why leak word now that you want Campbell and give any other team who likes him the chance to move ahead of you?[/b]
26. New York Jets (10-6)
Heath Miller* | TE | Virginia
The Jets' most glaring weakness on either side of the ball is at cornerback, but their second biggest need is at tight end after Anthony Becht fled to Tampa Bay. Furthermore, Miller is a much better value than any cornerback the Jets could get with this pick. Miller lacks Todd Heap and Tony Gonzalez-type speed, but he's just a notch below the elite in terms of playmaking ability. He has very good size, is a smooth athlete, has a terrific feel for the passing game and might have the best hands of any skill-position player in this draft. There are some concerns right now about a lingering sports hernia injury that kept him from working out at the combine, but we think he would be a steal this late in the first round.
Other scenarios:
• Select the best available DC – possibly Jackson, Washington or Miller.
27. Atlanta Falcons (11-5)
Shaun Cody | DE | USC
Cody is a 'tweener DE/DT who would be a perfect fit as a one-gap penetrating DT, which is exactly what the Falcons are looking for in their scheme. The team has a solid starter in Rod Coleman and a good swing-man in Chad Lavalais, but it needs to find a true starter now that Ed Jasper is gone. Cody has the potential to fill that void.
Other scenarios:
• Trade out, acquire extra Day 1 picks to address needs at DT, DS, WR, DC and DE.
• Select the best available DT – possibly Johnson or Cody.
• Select the best available DS – possibly Pool.
• Select the best available WR – possibly White.
• Select the best available DC – possibly Washington or Miller.
• Select the best available DE – possibly Cody or Roth.
28. San Diego Chargers (12-4)
Roddy White | WR | Alabama-Birmingham
White left the Senior Bowl early with a hamstring injury, but he proved during the first couple days of practice that he has the speed and vertical playmaking capability to warrant first-round attention. He doesn't have elite size, but White has the speed to draw attention away from Keenan McCardell and oft-injured Reche Caldwell, which is something the Chargers desperately lack on their roster right now.
Other scenarios:
• If they don't get a DE with pick No. 12 and a perimeter pass-rusher like James or Cody slips, either would be a possibility here.
• Select FS Pool.
29. Indianapolis Colts (12-4)
Matt Roth | DE | Iowa
Roth is a high-motor player with great instincts, good power and better athleticism than he gets credit for. He would help to take attention away from RDE Dwight Freeney, while also providing a certain level of toughness that is missing in the team's defensive front-seven. The Colts have a bigger need at inside linebacker, but character issues should prevent them from taking a chance on the top two players at that position – Georgia's Odell Thurman and Florida's Channing Crowder. Other scenarios: • Select DT Johnson or DT Cody, if one falls.
• Select the best available DC – possibly Washington or Miller.
• Trade down, if they can get more picks, and still see value at DL, LB and/or DC early in the second round.
• Take a chance on an ILB such as Florida's Crowder or Georgia's Thurman, both of whom have character alerts.
30. Pittsburgh Steelers (15-1)
Khalif Barnes | OT | Washington
Barnes had a huge postseason, as he wowed NFL brass both at the Senior Bowl and the combine. He clearly has the athleticism and size to develop into an above-average starter at the next level. All he needs is good coaching and motivation. He's certainly worth the risk late in the first round for a Steelers team that will be looking for the best player available at offensive tackle, tight end, defensive tackle or cornerback.
Other scenarios:
• Select TE Miller, if he's available.
• Select a 3-4 DE, such as Cody if he slips.
• Select OT Barnes if he slips.
• Select the best available DC – possibly Washington or Miller.
• Reach for Arkansas WR/TE Matt Jones.
• Reach for an OL such as Ole Miss' Marcus Johnson or Michigan's David Baas.
31. Philadelphia Eagles (13-3)
Brodney Pool | S | Oklahoma
After re-signing DT Corey Simon and MLB Jeremiah Trotter, the Eagles' only need in the draft is depth. There's a good chance the team could package some of its five Day 1 picks and 13 overall picks to move around in this draft, but if the Eagles keep all five first-day selections we expect them to add prospects at four of the following five positions: guard/tackle, wide receiver, running back, defensive lineman, linebacker and safety. Safety might be the least of those needs, but Pool could be the best prospect available this late in the first round. His versatility and playmaking skills would provide much needed depth immediately, as well as future insurance.
Other scenarios:
• Package some of five Day 1 picks and/or 8 Day 2 picks to move up for a player they target at WR, DT, DE or TE.
• Select DT Cody if he slips.
• Select TE Miller if he slips.
• Select OT Barnes if he slips.
• Reach for DT Luis Castillo.
• Reach for Arkansas WR/TE Matt Jones.
32. New England Patriots (14-2)
Justin Miller | DC | Clemson
The Patriots have a bigger need at inside linebacker, but coach Bill Belichick won't fall into that trap on draft day. Thurman and Crowder are possibilities, but their respective character and mental-capacity issues are red flags for a team that weighs intangibles and intelligence so heavily in its personnel analysis. Rather than taking a chance, look for the Patriots to draft the best available player at pick No. 32. In this scenario, Miller would be an ideal fit. Not only does he address a need at cornerback, he also can help provide a much-needed spark in the return game.
Other scenarios:
• Select best available DC – possibly Jackson or Washington.
• Select best available ILB – possibly Thurman, Crowder or Nebraska's Barrett Ruud.
• Select best available OL – OT Barnes if he slips, or OG Baas, OT Johnson or Virginia OG Elton Brown.
Man, if Mike Williams dropped to us like Scouts Inc. expects I would die that instant! Wow would that be awesome!!
ey
