Posted: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:59 pm
CanesSkin26 said:
Could he flop? Sure. Even Luck is not guaranteed to be the next coming of Joe Montana... There were questions about who was the best quarterback in the 1998 draft... Peyton Manning? Ryan Leaf? Both were billed as sure fire franchise quarterbacks, with the only question being, "which will get to the Hall of Fame first?". How'd that work out?
On the other hand, not being the first, or even the second... selection is not an impediment to quarterback greatness... Tom Brady is the most popular example...
But, I think this is truly a deep quarterback class, and there is an excellent chance that there could be as many as 5 "franchise quarterbacks" selected... and that RGIII and Barkley, AND Jones are likely to stick, and start... and be very effective.
In Griffin's case, though... that might take a bit longer than the others. As Canes points out... he has some learning to do... that Luck and Barkley do not.
This is true. Just ask Colt Brennan. The reality is, RGIII is an exceptionally intelligent football player (how often do you hear of a player using the last year of eligibility to earn a Masters degree). I think he has demonstrated that he has the capacity to make the transition. Unlike most spread quarterbacks (and despite Canes concern that he bails from the pocket too soon), there is film of Griffin extending, continuing to look for receivers, after a play has broken. While capable of making the play with his feet, he is still looking for receivers. This provides the basis for optimism that he can learn to operate under center, because this is the primary skill that must be learned... reading the defense while moving back to the pocket... the very similar to the skill used in extending the play from the spread.RGIII has the greatest chance of flopping because he has the most work to do. Doesn't really play under center, tends to bail out of the pocket too soon, needs to work on his footwork, etc. The transition from spread to pro style is a lot more difficult than people think.
Could he flop? Sure. Even Luck is not guaranteed to be the next coming of Joe Montana... There were questions about who was the best quarterback in the 1998 draft... Peyton Manning? Ryan Leaf? Both were billed as sure fire franchise quarterbacks, with the only question being, "which will get to the Hall of Fame first?". How'd that work out?
On the other hand, not being the first, or even the second... selection is not an impediment to quarterback greatness... Tom Brady is the most popular example...
But, I think this is truly a deep quarterback class, and there is an excellent chance that there could be as many as 5 "franchise quarterbacks" selected... and that RGIII and Barkley, AND Jones are likely to stick, and start... and be very effective.
In Griffin's case, though... that might take a bit longer than the others. As Canes points out... he has some learning to do... that Luck and Barkley do not.