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Posted: Thu Dec 08, 2005 10:55 am
by Redskins Rule
If you guys want to go on about the sea level rising because of man polluting the atmosphere.....well, there was this really cool show on the discovery channell. They found this ENTIRE CITY underwater. It was funny too, because the archeaologist were looking for this city for a real long time, but couldn't find it! Anyways it was said to have "sunk" a few thousand years ago. I don't think mankind were driving in cars or using hairspray back then either. I could be wrong, but I'm pretty sure I'm right to assume that.

Thats just another reason why I believe this stuff to be nothing but overhyped bullcrud.

Posted: Thu Dec 08, 2005 4:29 pm
by UK Skins Fan
thaiphoon wrote:
But when the only scientific voices that I have heard denying global warming are those voices funded by oil companies, then I choose to believe scientists whose only vested interest is in the pursuit of science


There is no scientific consensus that global warming is a problem or that humans are its cause. Even if current predictions of warming are correct, delaying drastic government actions by up to 25 years will make little difference in global temperature 100 years from now. Proposed treaty restrictions would do little environmental good and great economic harm. By contrast, putting off action until we have more evidence of human-caused global warming and better technology to mitigate it is both environmentally and economically sound. While ground-level temperature measurements suggest the earth has warmed between 0.3 and 0.6 degrees Celsius since 1850, global satellite data, the most reliable of climate measurements, show no evidence of warming. Even if the earth's temperature has increased slightly, the increase is well within the natural range of known temperature variation over the last 15,000 years. The earth experienced greater warming between the 10th and 15th centuries - a time when vineyards thrived in England and Vikings colonized Greenland and built settlements in Canada.

Scientists do not agree that humans discernibly influence global climate because the evidence supporting that theory is weak. The scientific experts most directly concerned with climate conditions reject the theory by a wide margin. A Gallup poll found that a small minority of the members of the Meteorological Society and the American Geophysical Society think that the warming of the 20th century has been a result of greenhouse gas emissions - principally CO2 from burning fossil fuels. More than 100 noted scientists, including the former president of the National Academy of Sciences, signed a letter declaring that costly actions to reduce greenhouse gases are not justified by the best available evidence.

While atmospheric carbon dioxide has increased by 28 percent over the past 150 years, human-generated carbon dioxide could have played only a small part in any warming, since most of the warming occurred prior to 1940 !!!! Agreed .... sea levels are rising around the globe, though not uniformly. In fact, sea levels have risen more than 300 feet over the last 18,000 years - far predating [u]any possible human impact. Rising sea levels are natural in between ice ages. Contrary to the predictions of global warming theorists, the current rate of increase is slower than the average rate over the 18,000-year period

Sorry my friend ... if you think that the scientists who are saying that Humans are inducing global warming are only interested in science you're sadly mistaken. They gain by making this a "calamity" that governments must fund in order to help prevent. The funding goes in the form of grants to the very organizations that these scientists run or work for. If you want to play this game of what is behind the research go right ahead, for each one you point out the other side can also point out one.

Instead you should focus on the research and the results.

If anyone cared to look at the IPCC report (which was the reason why the Kyoto Treaty was started) they would notice that the Summary of the report was acutally written by politicans and not the scientists whose work contributed to the report. They would also notice that many of the results that are in the report are either skewed or presented in the reverse in the IPCC policy makers summary which Kyoto was really based upon.

For those who want to say "well lets not take any chances" I ask you. If you lived in Kansas would you take out Earthquake insurance on your house?? I could undersatand Tornado insurance but would you hamper yourself economically in order to prevent loss against an earthquake in Kansas?? The proposed measures would hamper economies and lead to many deaths. This all based upon theories that are not based upon good science. Not exactly making me warm and fuzzy here.

Check out http://www.globalwarming.org/ and go beyond the cases on the first page and look at the data archives. Do some more research and then ask yourself that if the sea levels have been rising for 18,000 years and man has been pumping out CO2 for only the last 100-200 years...how can we be at fault for the continuing rise? Then ask yourself that if we've been pumping out CO2 all this time why has most of the warming occured over 60 years before now. Finally ask yourself that if the actions of the Earth's oceans cause over 95% of all CO2 to be released into the atmosphere and humans cause less than 3% then how are curbing our CO2 emissions going to solve the problem?

I'll give you one caveat in that we shoul have as much vegetation as possible. But remember as CO2 levels rise, vegation grows larger and denser leading to more CO2 being sucked down into a 'CO2 sink". We should be good stewards of our rainforests,etc... and nto continue to clear-cut them I agree. But the Kyoto protocol is bunk and no nation should be stupid enough to sign onto it.

A good argument, and well made. This is why this site is worth spending time at.

I won't pretend to be as well read on the science and politics of global warming as you are. There is always a danger in these kind of debates that the participant who can quote the most facts (or falsehoods, depending on your opinion) wins, regardless of the merits of the arguments actually made. With some research I, or any number of others, could hurl a range of statistics into the debate, to support our view. However, there is a risk inherent in using a narrow set of data to fit your chosen position. This trap is equally applicable to both sides of the debate.

Like I said at the start, I don't pretend to know as much of the science as you have demonstrated. But the point is - I don't need to. I will never be a brain surgeon, but I know where I'd go if I wanted a lobotomy (hands up, who said that would be no bad thing?). I will never be a scholar of environmental sciences either, so I listen to the opinions of those who are, or are qualified to speak for them. Therefore, I choose to believe people like the recently departed president of the Royal Society, Lord May. Or the chief scientific adviser to the UK government. I also fail to see why 141 nations would sign up to the Kyoto protocol (which is an undoubtedly flawed document, but the best thing we have in the circumstances), unless the relevant national and international scientific bodies had reached consensus.

There are a number of websites where informed debate about this subject takes place. However, globalwarming.org is unlikely to be one of them. With the name of Myron Ebell appearing in the first paragraph of the introductory page, I find it difficult to take seriously. More eminent persons than me have been heard to utter the word buffoon in the same sentence as the man's name.

I take some comfort in the fact that debate is now actually taking place, and it should also be noted that CO2 emissions in the US have apparently reduced over the last two years, whilst the UK flaps hopelessly wide of achieving it's targets.

But I entirely disagree with your premise that consensus has not been reached on this subject. And on that note, I shall withdraw to the safer but more surreal waters of Hogwash!

Posted: Thu Dec 08, 2005 7:47 pm
by Texas Hog
thaiphoon wrote:
But when the only scientific voices that I have heard denying global warming are those voices funded by oil companies, then I choose to believe scientists whose only vested interest is in the pursuit of science


There is no scientific consensus that global warming is a problem or that humans are its cause. Even if current predictions of warming are correct, delaying drastic government actions by up to 25 years will make little difference in global temperature 100 years from now. Proposed treaty restrictions would do little environmental good and great economic harm. By contrast, putting off action until we have more evidence of human-caused global warming and better technology to mitigate it is both environmentally and economically sound. While ground-level temperature measurements suggest the earth has warmed between 0.3 and 0.6 degrees Celsius since 1850, global satellite data, the most reliable of climate measurements, show no evidence of warming. Even if the earth's temperature has increased slightly, the increase is well within the natural range of known temperature variation over the last 15,000 years. The earth experienced greater warming between the 10th and 15th centuries - a time when vineyards thrived in England and Vikings colonized Greenland and built settlements in Canada.

Scientists do not agree that humans discernibly influence global climate because the evidence supporting that theory is weak. The scientific experts most directly concerned with climate conditions reject the theory by a wide margin. A Gallup poll found that a small minority of the members of the Meteorological Society and the American Geophysical Society think that the warming of the 20th century has been a result of greenhouse gas emissions - principally CO2 from burning fossil fuels. More than 100 noted scientists, including the former president of the National Academy of Sciences, signed a letter declaring that costly actions to reduce greenhouse gases are not justified by the best available evidence.

While atmospheric carbon dioxide has increased by 28 percent over the past 150 years, human-generated carbon dioxide could have played only a small part in any warming, since most of the warming occurred prior to 1940 !!!! Agreed .... sea levels are rising around the globe, though not uniformly. In fact, sea levels have risen more than 300 feet over the last 18,000 years - far predating [u]any possible human impact. Rising sea levels are natural in between ice ages. Contrary to the predictions of global warming theorists, the current rate of increase is slower than the average rate over the 18,000-year period

Sorry my friend ... if you think that the scientists who are saying that Humans are inducing global warming are only interested in science you're sadly mistaken. They gain by making this a "calamity" that governments must fund in order to help prevent. The funding goes in the form of grants to the very organizations that these scientists run or work for. If you want to play this game of what is behind the research go right ahead, for each one you point out the other side can also point out one.

Instead you should focus on the research and the results.

If anyone cared to look at the IPCC report (which was the reason why the Kyoto Treaty was started) they would notice that the Summary of the report was acutally written by politicans and not the scientists whose work contributed to the report. They would also notice that many of the results that are in the report are either skewed or presented in the reverse in the IPCC policy makers summary which Kyoto was really based upon.

For those who want to say "well lets not take any chances" I ask you. If you lived in Kansas would you take out Earthquake insurance on your house?? I could undersatand Tornado insurance but would you hamper yourself economically in order to prevent loss against an earthquake in Kansas?? The proposed measures would hamper economies and lead to many deaths. This all based upon theories that are not based upon good science. Not exactly making me warm and fuzzy here.

Check out http://www.globalwarming.org/ and go beyond the cases on the first page and look at the data archives. Do some more research and then ask yourself that if the sea levels have been rising for 18,000 years and man has been pumping out CO2 for only the last 100-200 years...how can we be at fault for the continuing rise? Then ask yourself that if we've been pumping out CO2 all this time why has most of the warming occured over 60 years before now. Finally ask yourself that if the actions of the Earth's oceans cause over 95% of all CO2 to be released into the atmosphere and humans cause less than 3% then how are curbing our CO2 emissions going to solve the problem?

I'll give you one caveat in that we shoul have as much vegetation as possible. But remember as CO2 levels rise, vegation grows larger and denser leading to more CO2 being sucked down into a 'CO2 sink". We should be good stewards of our rainforests,etc... and nto continue to clear-cut them I agree. But the Kyoto protocol is bunk and no nation should be stupid enough to sign onto it.


=D> great post!

give 'em hell, thaiphoon!

Posted: Thu Dec 08, 2005 7:48 pm
by thaiphoon
But I entirely disagree with your premise that consensus has not been reached on this subject. And on that note, I shall withdraw to the safer but more surreal waters of Hogwash!


Over 19,000 scientists have signed a petition saying, in part, "there is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gases is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth's atmosphere and disruption of the Earth's climate."

The petition is being circulated by the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine, an independent research organization that receives no funding from industry. Among the list of signers of the petition are over 2,600 physicists, geophysicsts, climatologists, meteorologists, and environmental scientists who are especially well-qualified to evaluate the effects of carbon dioxide on the Earth's atmosphere. Another 5,017 signers are scientists qualified to comment on carbon dioxide's effects on plant and animal life. Nearly all of the signers have some sort of advanced technical training.

The petition can be found here: http://www.oism.org/pproject/

The qualifications of the signers of the Oregon Institute Petition are dramatically better than the 2,600 "scientists" who have signed a competing petition (called Ozone Action) calling for immediate action to counter global warming. More than 90 percent of that petition's signers lacked credentials to speak with authority on the issue. The entire list included just one climatologist

Therefore, consensus has NOT been achieved.

As for the signers of the document look who they are. They are countries that have weaker economies and which seek to hamper the U.S. economy. This is an economic, rather than an environmental treaty. Else why would the Kyoto protocol ignore the fact that North america acts as a CO2 "sink" and we actually have a net loss of CO2 due to the foliage and trees?? (One Source for this fact: "Will Our Greening Planet "Sink" Kyoto?" World Climate Report, October 26, 1998) Else why would the treaty ignore the emissions of India and China (2 rapidly developing countries whose environmental laws are not as good as the US)?? Remember India and China are exempt from Kyoto if you recall.

After studying this topic ad nauseum for years now the only conclusion I've drawn is that the biggest proponents of the Kyoto treaty are certain European countries who have been languishing economically and seek to hamstring the US economy so that they can compete with us in the Global market easier. Couple that with media bias tio hype the "calamity" and the myth of HIGW becoming popular amongst people that do not realize that it is based upon junk science and who think the treaty will help the environment and its easy to see why over 100 countries would sign onto it. Of course they would...through emissions-trading they will get "credits" because they aren't using that much energy or putting out that much CO2. They stand to benefit from the treaty economically and stand to watch the US suffer economically. Of course they will sign onto the treaty and try to force the US to do the same. The treaty was bad when written and is still bad today.

Finally I'll leave you with this ...

NASA's Dr. James Hansen, whose 1988 pronouncements started the clamor for action to prevent global warming, wrote 10 years later in the 1998 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences that:

"The forcings that drive long-term climate change are not known with accuracy sufficient to define future climate change."

So much for being sure.

Posted: Thu Dec 08, 2005 8:20 pm
by andyjens89
TOO MANY WORDS!

Posted: Thu Dec 08, 2005 9:21 pm
by redskins12287
andyjens89 wrote:TOO MANY WORDS!


agreed. this is just becoming too much to read.

Re: Irrefutable Scientific Proof of Global Warming

Posted: Thu Dec 08, 2005 9:36 pm
by Fios
Justice Hog wrote:Image


That's it Justice, no more funny pictures from you, look what you've done.

P.S. "The scientific opinion on climate change, as expressed by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and explicitly endorsed by the national science academies of the G8 nations, is that the average global temperature has risen 0.6 ± 0.2 °C since the late 19th century, and that "most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities". A small minority of qualified scientists contest the view that humanity's actions have played a significant role in increasing recent temperatures."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming

Posted: Thu Dec 08, 2005 11:34 pm
by thaiphoon
"The scientific opinion on climate change, as expressed by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and explicitly endorsed by the national science academies of the G8 nations, is that the average global temperature has risen 0.6 ± 0.2 °C since the late 19th century, And that "most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities".

The IPCC did not prove that human activities are causing global warming. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was created by the United Nations to act as a source of scientific advice on global warming. The so-called "smoking gun" was this assessment;

"The balance of evidence suggests a discernible human influence on the global climate"

So people take this to mean that there is scientific "consensus" and that we are the main cause of the warming.

But ... look at the wording of the sentence.

"Balance of evidence" is a phrase used by scientists when evidence of a cause-and-effect relationship is unavailable. It is an admission that genuine proof has not been found. The word "suggests" means different people looking at the same data can disagree on its meaning. And "discernible" means detectible but by no means large or significant. It certainly does not mean "major," "troubling," or even "bad."

Dr. Frederick Seitz, president emeritus of Rockefeller University and past president of the National Academy of Sciences, publicly denounced the IPCC report, writing;

"I have never witnessed a more disturbing corruption of the peer-review process than the events that led to this IPCC report."

A small minority of qualified scientists contest the view that humanity's actions have played a significant role in increasing recent temperatures


19,000 scientists including over 2,600 physicists, geophysicsts, climatologists, meteorologists, and environmental scientists are small minority ??

Posted: Fri Dec 09, 2005 10:11 am
by Fios
thaiphoon wrote:
"The scientific opinion on climate change, as expressed by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and explicitly endorsed by the national science academies of the G8 nations, is that the average global temperature has risen 0.6 ± 0.2 °C since the late 19th century, And that "most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities".

The IPCC did not prove that human activities are causing global warming. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was created by the United Nations to act as a source of scientific advice on global warming. The so-called "smoking gun" was this assessment;

"The balance of evidence suggests a discernible human influence on the global climate"

So people take this to mean that there is scientific "consensus" and that we are the main cause of the warming.

But ... look at the wording of the sentence.

"Balance of evidence" is a phrase used by scientists when evidence of a cause-and-effect relationship is unavailable. It is an admission that genuine proof has not been found. The word "suggests" means different people looking at the same data can disagree on its meaning. And "discernible" means detectible but by no means large or significant. It certainly does not mean "major," "troubling," or even "bad."

Dr. Frederick Seitz, president emeritus of Rockefeller University and past president of the National Academy of Sciences, publicly denounced the IPCC report, writing;

"I have never witnessed a more disturbing corruption of the peer-review process than the events that led to this IPCC report."

A small minority of qualified scientists contest the view that humanity's actions have played a significant role in increasing recent temperatures


19,000 scientists including over 2,600 physicists, geophysicsts, climatologists, meteorologists, and environmental scientists are small minority ??


You know what, we're not going to change our opinions on this, I vowed to stay out of debates like this on this site and broke that vow. I'm going back to being the class idiot, it's much simpler that way.

Posted: Fri Dec 09, 2005 1:10 pm
by UK Skins Fan
Is it time to ask whether global warming, from whatever cause, will help or hinder the Redskins chances of winning a Superbowl in the next 500 million years?

Posted: Fri Dec 09, 2005 1:20 pm
by JansenFan
It may help FedEx Field get to host a superbowl.

Posted: Fri Dec 09, 2005 2:00 pm
by SkinsFanInHawai'i
Or maybe the hole in the Ozone will move over FedEx and they will have to put a dome over it.

Posted: Sun Dec 11, 2005 7:53 am
by AZHog
I leave for three days and look what happens -- try to put in two cents...oh well. :roll: