Free Agency = Bargain shopping and Buyer beware

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Free Agency = Bargain shopping and Buyer beware

Post by 1niksder »

Best free agents aren't biggest names

What's in a name?

In the NFL free-agency period, it usually means money. And it usually happens for those name players in a hurry.

Like many fans, teams often get enamored with name players. Fans crave for their teams to sign them, and team executives often get caught up in the fever.

But the reality is a lot of the times those players are either on the downside of their careers or about to get there.

That's dangerous.

So while your neighbor might be calling for your team to sign a big-name guy this free-agency period, we offer the alternative: players you might not know who have yet to reach their NFL peaks.

For these players, their best football is in front of them, which is why they should be key targets.

We have five players listed, and here's a good bet that outside of their families, their own fans and the NFL personnel people who deal with them on a regular basis, they aren't that well known.

That doesn't mean they can't play. They all can. And they all have several good years left.

So let's forget about the aging passers (Jeff Garcia), the high-priced corners (Nate Clements) and the flavor of the month (Dominic Rhodes) for a moment and take a look at five guys who can actually help your team.

These no-names can play.

Kevin Curtis, WR, St. Louis Rams

He has what teams want, which is blazing speed. Curtis is small at 5-feet-11, 195 pounds, but he can get down the field. He wasn't used as much last season as he was when Mike Martz was the coach, but he has the tools to be a solid starter.

Used mostly as a third receiver in his time with the Rams, playing behind Torry Holt and Isaac Bruce, Curtis did start nine games in 2005 when Bruce was hurt. He responded with career highs in catches (60) and yards (801). He had 40 catches for 479 yards last season but started just one game.

Curtis had four catches for 40-plus yards in 2005, including an 83-yard touchdown. He also had six touchdowns that season and four in 2006.

Although he has only been in the league four years, Curtis will turn 29 in July. That's because he went on a Mormon mission in 1998-99 before walking on at Utah State. Even so, his body is young by NFL standards, which means there's a lot of good football left in him.

Dewayne White, DE, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

There's always a shortage of good, young pass rushers. It's why the Cincinnati Bengals gave Robert Geathers a five-year contract to keep him off the market. The Bucs haven't been as lucky with White, so he will likely be available.

A second-round pick in 2003, he spent most of his first three seasons being used as a situational rusher but took over as a starter late last season when Simeon Rice went down with an injury. He had five sacks and showed he had the speed off the edge. He has 14 sacks the past three seasons.

He turns 28 in October, so his best football is in front of him. Tampa Bay would love to keep him, particularly because Rice and Greg Spires are both over 30.

Eric Steinbach, G, Cincinnati Bengals

It's not often that a player of this caliber hits the market. But the Bengals have already put the franchise tag on defensive end Justin Smith, which means Steinbach will be unrestricted free agent.

He turns 27 in April, but he has already had 62 career starts. That's a lot of experience for a player of his age.

Steinbach is a good in pass protection, and since he has improved his strength, he has improved as a run blocker.

He is one of the Bengals who was arrested in the past year, being tagged for boating under the influence, which could scare off some teams.

Ken Hamlin, S, Seahawks

After suffering a serious head injury in a bar fight in 2005, an injury that forced him to miss the second half of the season, Hamlin responded in 2006 by starting all 16 games.

He is a big hitter who plays with a lot of aggressiveness and passion. He's the player who can often be heard screaming at the opposition.

Hamlin just turned 26, so he's at the target age. Hamlin had 75 tackles, three interceptions and two sacks last season.

Teams will have to address the head injury from 2005 if they plan to spend on him, but he didn't show any signs of it affecting him last season.

Cory Redding, DT-DE, Lions

Redding picked a good time to have his career season. He had eight sacks in 2006, playing both end and tackle.

He finished the season at tackle, but at 290 pounds he is small by those standards for some defenses. The fact he can play both positions bodes well for his free-agency status.

Redding has played four seasons since being drafted by the Lions out of Texas and had four sacks before last season

Redding is 26 -- do I like that age or what? -- and won't turn 27 until November. The Lions could still place a franchise tag on him, but if not, he will get signed early by another team.


Think twice on these free agents

Some clubs can't wait to spend their money on this year's free agents, but they better be careful. There are sinkholes out there waiting to devour the unsuspecting.

Translation: Just because a veteran was productive with one team doesn't necessarily guarantee he will be productive with another.

I know that's no revelation, but someone forgot to tell Arizona. The Cards paid megabucks last year for Edgerrin James and still wound up with the league's 30th-ranked rushing game.

That's not a knock on James. It's a knock on the fit. Critics predicted he couldn't make an impact until the Cardinals improved their offensive line, and they were right.

James is only one example. Others failed to live up to the hype, the paychecks or both, and more are bound to follow. The key is knowing how to avoid potential potholes.

That is why we're here. What follows are five prospective free agents I wouldn't necessarily avoid but who could present problems if they're not in the right place at the right time.

Take it away, fellas:

Jeff Garcia, QB, Philadelphia

I love what this guy does too. He's tough. He's courageous. He's resilient. And he's productive. But he's productive in the right offense, which is why I'd tell him to stay in Philadelphia. It's a perfect place for the guy, even if he has to back up Donovan McNabb. One thing you know about McNabb is that he probably won't make it through the season without missing time, so the door always swings free for the backup.

But it's not just the right fit that should make buyers wary of Garcia: He turned 37 on Tuesday, and that's not an age where you want to gamble on a starter. I know Garcia entered the NFL at 29, but he has absorbed a raft of punishment in the time he has been there. No question, Jeff Garcia is someone you want on your roster. He's a leader, and he loves competition. But he's not necessarily someone you want as your starter. Ask Cleveland. Ask Detroit. He started at both places but failed because he couldn't carry bad clubs that were victimized by dreadful offensive lines.

He's in the right place at the right time in Philadelphia, and there's something to be said for a comfort zone. Memo to Jeff: Money doesn't buy happiness. You learned that at your previous two stops. Pay attention now that you're on top of the free-agent pile at quarterback.

Ahman Green, RB, Green Bay

Sure, he has had a slew of 100-yard rushing performances in his career and once scored 20 times for Green Bay. But that was years ago, and now you can't count on Green for much more than getting hurt -- the star running back has missed 13 of the Pack's past 25 games.

So he produced five 100-yard games last season; he's not the threat he was five years ago, when the Packers were winning and Green left a string of tacklers in his wake. That doesn't happen anymore, and one of the reasons is Green's age: He's 30, and that's when you start to re-assess backs -- especially backs who have absorbed as much punishment as Ahman Green.

All I know is that his numbers have declined steadily since his 1,883-yard season in 2003 -- with his yards-per-carry average dropping to 3.8 the past two years, the lowest of his career, and Green producing five TDs in 2005-06.

Now look at what happened down the stretch last season: He wore out. In his final four starts he averaged 3.2 yards a carry, scored once and never ran for more than 79 yards in any game. And I haven't even touched on his history of fumbling. All I know is this is not a guy I'd count on to carry my rushing attack. Four years ago? Sure. But not now.

Patrick Kerney, DE, Atlanta

Kerney is expected to void the final two years of his contract, making him a free agent if he doesn't re-sign with Atlanta. So far, he hasn't, and if Kerney hits the market he will be in demand. One reason is that he's a good player at a critical position. The question potential suitors must ask themselves is: Can he be a great player? He's coming off a pectoral injury that shortened his 2006 season. And he will be 31 in December. That's not a good combination.

When he's right, Kerney is one of the top pass rushers in the business, but do you really want to invest mega-millions in a 30-year-old coming off a serious injury? The Falcons don't, and they're interested in re-signing Kerney -- but only at the right price.

Kerney scares off some suitors who worry about him breaking down despite a string of 105 straight games that was broken last season. Kerney is a high-effort, play-hard kind of guy, but as one scout said, "Do you really want to pay for a motor? I always worry about the guys I think are a little underweight."

With Dwight Freeney and Justin Smith off the market, Kerney is at or near the top of the class of defensive ends. But buyers beware. "When I look at Patrick Kerney," said one scout, "I see a terrific athlete who wears down as the season goes on and who defenders start to handle. He's had some productivity, but I'd think twice before paying him a lot of money." Apparently, so would Atlanta.

Cato June, LB, Indianapolis

This is another guy I love to watch -- but only in the Indianapolis Colts' system. The Colts have undersized guys who fly to the ball, and that's June. But he must be in the right system to flourish. He is there in Indianapolis, where he led the team in tackles last season as the club's weak-side linebacker.

The Colts have a history of not protecting free-agent linebackers, which means June probably walks next month. But you better be careful: He's a big name in this year's market, but he's not a universal fit like, say, an Adalius Thomas would be. He's not physical, and he can have trouble getting off blocks. Plus, some scouts don't regard him as a strong tackler. In short, he must be with a defense that can take advantage of his speed and coverage skills, as Tampa Bay does with its linebackers.

June will get a lot of attention if he's exposed to free-agency, but it might not be for the right reasons. Just because he had success with the Colts doesn't guarantee he will have success elsewhere. Suitors might find out the hard way that Cato June was a product of the Colts' system.

Leonard Davis, T, Arizona

When the Cards made Davis the second choice of the 2001 draft, he was projected as a franchise tackle who would dominate for the next decade. But then Arizona learned a lesson others should heed: Leonard Davis is a better guard, or right tackle, than he is a left tackle. In fact, one coach I spoke with believes Davis can't play the left side, that he doesn't have the quick feet to handle speed rushers. As evidence he pointed to Davis' rash of false-start penalties. He had nine this season and allowed a career-high eight sacks.

"He's petrified of the speed rusher," he said. "He's more of a masher."

When the Cards moved him inside, however, Davis seemed at home. In fact, he excelled. Hey, when they played him at right tackle in 2002 he didn't look all that bad, either, once walling off Michael Strahan. But ex-coach Denny Green never figured that out, moving Davis back to left tackle where the guy teammates call "Big" was overmatched.

One coach compared him to Pro Bowl lineman Larry Allen, who is a better guard than he is a tackle, and he might be on to something: Davis could be ticketed for the 49ers, where he would join Allen. All I know is that left tackles get big bucks, and there was a reason Ken Whisenhunt and Russ Grimm let this guy walk. Hint: It wasn't all about the money.







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Post by Smithian »

I would love to take a chance on Leonard Davis if Dockery leaves.
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Post by frankcal20 »

With this so called signing of Fletcher, I don't think we would be able to afford him.
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Post by Hog Heaven »

I'd rather have Steinbach if we are going to splurge on a guard and not retain Dockery. Lets keep Doc though, he's solid, home grown, young, and would allow us to have more chemistry on the O-line.... shoot, I guess all those posatives mean he's about to be booted out the door in favor of an overpriced new guy huh.
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